Not true. A first/middle/last and DoB match is almost always a dead ringer for a match even if you're dealing with John Smiths.

EDIT: Sorry, to explain further, let's say you have an ordinary day in America. Roughly 10,700 people are born.

Nearly 50/50 male/female, and luckily we haven't moved to androgynous names only yet so most are uniquely one direction or the other. Let's give a little leeway for overlap and say a pool of 6,000 (half plus 10ish%)

So of the roughly 6,000 same-sexed + SNL-Pat-named people born on a given day, what are the odds they have the same first, middle, and last name? Obviously the pool is going to narrow given more unique names.

Even looking at a John Smith or a James Franklin or a Jane Goodman, the odds of there being another John Smith or James Franklin or Jane Goodman in the same rough geographical area (remember, PA and WI areas only here) with the same middle initial (of the 26 letters about 16-18 are commonly used) is very small.

Without getting further into the weeds with the birthday paradox (50% chance of 2 people in a room of 23 having the same birthday) and other metrics, I would be absolutely shocked if the list of 130k above contains any more than 10k that are legitimately different people. I would wager any handful you pick you're probably going to be looking at the same person every time and very rarely finding records that are different people.

Not true. A first/middle/last and DoB match is almost always a dead ringer for a match even if you're dealing with John Smiths.

EDIT: Sorry, to explain further, let's say you have an ordinary day in America. Roughly 10,700 people are born.

Nearly 50/50 male/female, and luckily we haven't moved to androgynous names only yet so most are uniquely one direction or the other. Let's give a little leeway for overlap and say a pool of 6,000 (half plus 10ish%)

So of the roughly 6,000 same-sexed people born on a given day, what are the odds they have the same first, middle, and last name? Obviously the pool is going to narrow given more unique names.

Even looking at a John Smith or a James Franklin or a Jane Goodman, the odds of there being another John Smith or James Franklin or Jane Goodman in the same rough geographical area (remember, PA and WI areas only here) with the same middle initial (of the 26 letters about 16-18 are commonly used) is very small.

Without getting further into the weeds with the birthday paradox (50% chance of 2 people in a room of 23 having the same birthday) and other metrics, I would be absolutely shocked if the list of 130k above contains any more than 10k that are legitimately different people. I would wager any handful you pick you're probably going to be looking at the same person every time and very rarely finding records that are different people.

Not true. A first/middle/last and DoB match is almost always a dead ringer for a match even if you're dealing with John Smiths.

EDIT: Sorry, to explain further, let's say you have an ordinary day in America. Roughly 10,700 people are born.

Nearly 50/50 male/female, and luckily we haven't moved to androgynous names only yet so most are uniquely one direction or the other. Let's give a little leeway for overlap and say a pool of 6,000 (half plus 10ish%)

So of the roughly 6,000 people born on a given day, what are the odds they have the same first, middle, and last name? Obviously the pool is going to narrow given more unique names.

Even looking at a John Smith or a James Franklin or a Jane Goodman, the odds of there being another John Smith or James Franklin or Jane Goodman in the same rough geographical area (remember, PA and WI areas only here) with the same middle initial (of the 26 letters about 16-18 are commonly used) is very small.

Without getting further into the weeds with the birthday paradox (50% chance of 2 people in a room of 23 having the same birthday) and other metrics, I would be absolutely shocked if the list of 130k above contains any more than 10k that are legitimately different people. I would wager any handful you pick you're probably going to be looking at the same person every time and very rarely finding records that are different people.

Not true. A first/middle/last and DoB match is almost always a dead ringer for a match even if you're dealing with John Smiths.