Hey, everyone. first time joining T_D so I thought I would use my first post to get your guys’ thoughts on this really interesting piece of news.

Nate Silver and the guys over at 538 just came out with their big Presidential Election Forecast Model for 2020 gave Trump 29% of winning the Election to Biden’s 71% of winning - the funny thing is that those are the EXACT same odds it gave Trump vs Killary, (erm, I mean Hillary), back in 2016 on ELECTION DAY.

You can see for yourself here.

T_D post w/ compare/contrast 2016/2020

Also, you can read here where Nate is basically saying this far out from Election Day (83 days to be exact) Trump could do even better - It’s Way Too Soon To Count Trump Out

Some Quotes that definitely stand out (emphasis mine):

"In other words, our forecast thinks it’s far from obvious that the economy will doom Trump, especially if he can tell a story of recovery by November."

"It also isn’t currently that bad for Trump. In fact, it essentially predicts the popular vote to be roughly tied."

"But if you built a model based on third-quarter GDP, which is expected to be highly positive, it might predict a Trump landslide."

Doesn’t this all basically mean Trump has roughly the same odds of winning 3 months from Election Day - during a global pandemic, a national recession and racially-motivated riots/looting from radical Leftists - than Election Day 2016? ( and we ALL know how that turned out)? Give me your "deplorable" thoughts.

(P.S. Leftist Mob is having a snowflake meltdown over this over on Twitter, see: Nate's Tweet threads.

Hey, everyone. first time joining T_D so I thought I would use my first post to get your guys’ thoughts on this really interesting piece of news.

Nate Silver and the guys over at 538 just came out with their big Presidential Election Forecast Model for 2020 gave Trump 29% of winning the Election to Biden’s 71% of winning - the funny thing is that those are the EXACT same odds it gave Trump vs Killary, (erm, I mean Hillary), back in 2016 on ELECTION DAY.

You can see for yourself here.

T_D post w/ compare/contrast 2016/2020

Also, you can read here where Nate is basically saying this far out from Election Day (83 days to be exact) Trump could do even better - It’s Way Too Soon To Count Trump Out

Some Quotes that definitely stand out (emphasis mine):

"In other words, our forecast thinks it’s far from obvious that the economy will doom Trump, especially if he can tell a story of recovery by November."

"It also isn’t currently that bad for Trump. In fact, it essentially predicts the popular vote to be roughly tied."

"But if you built a model based on third-quarter GDP, which is expected to be highly positive, it might predict a Trump landslide."

Doesn’t this all basically mean Trump has roughly the same odds of winning 3 months from Election Day - during a global pandemic, a national recession and racially-motivated riots/looting from radical Leftists - than Election Day 2016? ( and we ALL know how that turned out)? Give me your "deplorable" thoughts.

(P.S. Leftist Mob is having a snowflake meltdown over this over on Twitter, see: Nate's Tweet threads.

Hey, everyone. first time joining T_D so I thought I would use my first post to get your guys’ thoughts on this really interesting piece of news.

Nate Silver and the guys over at 538 just came out with their big Presidential Election Forecast Model for 2020 gave Trump 29% of winning the Election to Biden’s 71% of winning - the funny thing is that those are the EXACT same odds it gave Trump vs Killary, (erm, I mean Hillary), back in 2016 on ELECTION DAY.

You can see for yourself here.

T_D post w/ compare/contrast 2016/2020

Also, you can read here where Nate is basically saying this far out from Election Day (83 days to be exact) Trump could do even better - It’s Way Too Soon To Count Trump Out

Some Quotes that definitely stand out (emphasis mine):

"But if you built a model based on third-quarter GDP, which is expected to be highly positive, it might predict a Trump landslide."

"It also isn’t currently that bad for Trump. In fact, it essentially predicts the popular vote to be roughly tied."

"In other words, our forecast thinks it’s far from obvious that the economy will doom Trump, especially if he can tell a story of recovery by November."

Doesn’t this all basically mean Trump has roughly the same odds of winning 3 months from Election Day - during a global pandemic, a national recession and racially-motivated riots/looting from radical Leftists - than Election Day 2016? ( and we ALL know how that turned out)? Give me your "deplorable" thoughts.

(P.S. Leftist Mob is having a snowflake meltdown over this over on Twitter, see: Nate's Tweet threads.

Hey, everyone. first time joining T_D so I thought I would use my first post to get your guys’ thoughts on this really interesting piece of news.

Nate Silver and the guys over at 538 just came out with their big Presidential Election Forecast Model for 2020 gave Trump 29% of winning the Election to Biden’s 71% of winning - the funny thing is that those are the EXACT same odds it gave Trump vs Killary, (erm, I mean Hillary), back in 2016 on ELECTION DAY.

You can see for yourself here.

T_D post w/ compare/contrast 2016/2020 here: https://thedonald.win/p/GcGugIHR/

Also, you can read here where Nate is basically saying this far out from Election Day (83 days to be exact) Trump could do even better - It’s Way Too Soon To Count Trump Out

Some Quotes that definitely stand out (emphasis mine):

"But if you built a model based on third-quarter GDP, which is expected to be highly positive, it might predict a Trump landslide."

"It also isn’t currently that bad for Trump. In fact, it essentially predicts the popular vote to be roughly tied."

"In other words, our forecast thinks it’s far from obvious that the economy will doom Trump, especially if he can tell a story of recovery by November."

Doesn’t this all basically mean Trump has roughly the same odds of winning 3 months from Election Day - during a global pandemic, a national recession and racially-motivated riots/looting from radical Leftists - than Election Day 2016? ( and we ALL know how that turned out)? Give me your "deplorable" thoughts.

(P.S. Leftist Mob is having a snowflake meltdown over this over on Twitter, see: Nate's Tweet threads.