This. Ward vote counts don’t scale enough orders of magnitude to expect benfords law to hold, Trumps actually do, but just because he consistently got less than 100 votes in some wards so he actually did cross a few orders of magnitude. (Nearly) All of Biden’s ward counts are localized between 100 and 1000, hence a grouping about a leading 5.
I’m not familiar with the exact circumstances but I would assume you’re essentially correct, they could have used votes per pricinct however if the precincts varied significantly in size and there were a large number of them, I’m by no means a statistician but by manually scrolling through some of the milwuakee wards they all seem roughly the same size, in the 500-1000 votes per ward range. That’s why Biden/Hillary never had many leading ones, few wards are large enough to give them 1000 or more votes, and they almost always got more than 100. On the other hand trump had a lot of 100 vote wards and much fewer closer to 5-600. Trumps also likely fits benfords better because his totals do scale more orders of magnitudes since there were actually a significant amount of wards he got less than 100 votes in.
I wish it was because of clear fraud but benfords doesn't mean much when all the counts are in between 100 and 1000, it just mean Hillary/biden tended to get about 4/600 and Trump tended to get 1/200 in the wards in that particularly county
Not it's unfortunately just not a good application of benfords since the ward counts are all so small, here is the graph I got when doing the same type of analysis on the 2016 election in the same county.
because the most common number of votes was in between 1 and 2 hundred, the ward sizes are all somewhat consistent so this is a pretty bad application of benfords and a waste of energy. I ran the Clinton numbers from 16 and they showed the same thing, but when you look at the vote counts it makes sense, the democrats tend to get 4-600 votes per ward while trump got about 1-200 in each. Benfords should only be used when you have a mix of values with different orders of magnitude: ie some in the 10's, some in the 1000's and some in the 100,000,000's.
and the votes per ward don't span enough orders of magnitude for it too work unfortunately, if you check 2016 Hillary numbers you'll get the same thing.
the benfords claim is weak, I ran the numbers on the 2016 election yesterday and the trend for Hillary was essentially the same, the votes per ward doesn't span enough orders of magnitude to properly use benfords, I can upload the graphs if anyone is interested. There was certainly high levels of fraud in Milwaukee but it'll be easier to prove with the freakishly high turnout the benfords.
You are right, I ran the same analysis on 2016 Hillary v Trump numbers in miluakee county by ward and they were essentially identical. To use benfords I’m fairly certain the dataset needs to scale across multiple orders of magnitude.
Unfortunately it’s looking like benfords is a false flag/ waste of energy.
Your father never loved you. COPE
Just found 16k Biden votes jogging!! Match me!
2SCOOPS 2TERMS 2GENDERS COPE
Say it with me raiders: TWO GENDERS
anyone have a link for the DHS news?
what do you have to gain by coming here retard
served big macs and fries I bet, peace commie
don't worry too much about the Georgia runoffs, joggers and commies will forget to vote when it's not to remove the scary orange man
Send links to any csvs or dbs and a description of data you want queried/analyzed from it. I'm here to serve.
I'm ready to do a benfords analysis to compare 2016 and 2020 data, can anyone link me to a WI/MI/GA dataset with the corresponding 2016 version? By precinct numbers are neccesary obviously.
I was here :)
please tell me it was in ultracucked cary
They don’t check out, check my post history for the chart.