I'm sorry black people.
So what s on the USB? Current voting totals to reveal how many votes Biden needs?
Tell the youtuber that this needs a follow up
Fulton County Director of Elections Richard Barron,
"There was no announcement made for anyone to leave"
also Richard Barron,
"I told the [voting panel?] about an hour ago to come back at 10:00AM because I didn't figure it was good, er, enough to have them wait around, uhh, until we had a more significant total to give them
https://twitter.com/PatriotChicago/status/1335561522211418113 (submitted here https://thedonald.win/p/11QlKTpUPr/who-stopped-the-count--this-guy-/c/)
Text source for “It looked really like there was rain coming out of the ceiling and the entire carpeting was just covered in water,” https://www.ajc.com/news/atlanta-news/georgia-opens-2-investigations-into-fultons-elections-operations/EVCBN4ZJTZELPDHMH63POL3RKQ/
You missed a bullet point
- implement Smartmatic so they can never lose another election.
Awesome, saved, thanks.
Ignore this comment - bookmarking for sharing when needed.
3rd party votes seem to be around 2%. Some updates take this to 2.1% or 1.9%.
Whenever the rounding goes down for 3rd party the video above proclaims "omfg, they stole 5% of the 3rd party vote!" (0.1/2.0=5%)
There's more in the video but not realizing where this 5% comes from is a big red flag for the rest of their analysis.
I hope I am wrong.
[until the lie became untenable] Briand explained the disappearance by saying that as a student newspaper, The News-Letter "simply rotates the articles it features on a weekly basis so as to showcase as many JHU students articles as possible."
Please try to plot this plot this:
- sorted by republican/democrat votes
- plot votes votes by category (mailed in/not mailed in if that's what you have)
what I hope you will get:
- most categories align with the main dem/rep axis
- dem_mailed_in follow a different, flat/flatter distribution
I found a similar pattern with "MixElectionD" in the oakland data, described in this comment
https://thedonald.win/p/11Q8lS215l/x/c/1BkBNOLxps
(forget the noise about principal components in my comment - republican/dem is the main principal component and straight ratio of dem/rep votes is easier to understand).
Any updates?
Edit:
(could be wrong - calculated quickly)
I had a look they all seem to get overwritten at 04/11/2020 05:27:31 - sometimes with fewer Trump and Biden votes.
04/11/2020 02:16:40 Chester 005 ATGLEN 421 233 42029-ATGLEN ATGLEN 42029 True 675 True
04/11/2020 05:27:31 Chester 005 ATGLEN 313 356 42029-ATGLEN ATGLEN 42029 True 677 True
04/11/2020 02:16:40 Chester 010 AVONDALE 421 233 42029-AVONDALE AVONDALE 42029 True 675 True
04/11/2020 05:27:31 Chester 010 AVONDALE 238 107 42029-AVONDALE AVONDALE 42029 True 352 True
04/11/2020 02:16:40 Chester 014 BIRMINGHAM 1 421 233 42029-BIRMINGHAM 1 BIRMINGHAM 1 42029 True 675 True
04/11/2020 05:27:31 Chester 014 BIRMINGHAM 1 593 433 42029-BIRMINGHAM 1 BIRMINGHAM 1 42029 True 1037 True
..408 rows
..except that odd one with the double numbers which started at 842 466 and was updated to 421 233.
04/11/2020 02:16:40 Chester 860 WEST CHESTER 7 842 466 42029-WEST CHESTER 7 WEST CHESTER 7 42029 True 1350 True
04/11/2020 05:27:31 Chester 860 WEST CHESTER 7 421 233 42029-WEST CHESTER 7 WEST CHESTER 7 42029 True 675 True
The word "Explosive" is in the headline of the article, don't blame OP.
Understanding these "anomalies" could be key to winning this.
literally holds the ratio is TWO FULL DAYS
bullshit. ratio changes with every update bar one.
geo, timestamp,total_div_trump, biden, other, trump, total
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 04/11/2020 07:08:18 20.333333333333332 173 1 9 183
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 04/11/2020 09:39:44 22.555555555555557 192 2 9 203
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 04/11/2020 15:11:18 22.666666666666668 193 2 9 204
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 04/11/2020 20:02:30 12.44 284 2 25 311
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 04/11/2020 20:47:22 13.28 304 3 25 332
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 05/11/2020 14:01:50 13.4 307 3 25 335
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 05/11/2020 16:53:45 14.68 338 4 25 367
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 05/11/2020 23:56:33 14 347 4 27 378
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 06/11/2020 04:31:05 14 360 4 28 392
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 06/11/2020 06:22:25 14.107142857142858 363 4 28 395
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 06/11/2020 13:48:29 13.827586206896552 368 4 29 401
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 07/11/2020 16:35:54 13.862068965517242 369 4 29 402
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 07/11/2020 20:50:18 13.931034482758621 371 4 29 404
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 08/11/2020 04:34:00 14 373 4 29 406
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 09/11/2020 03:23:36 14.03448275862069 374 4 29 407
42101-PHILADELPHIA 52-05 10/11/2020 21:30:56 14.068965517241379 375 4 29 408
note: I said previously that "No precinct has the same ratio twice with later updates." - I retract that 1:14 is hit 3 times for this precinct.
1 vote to 13 biden votes is a 1:14 Trump to Total ratio. Please learn some basic arithmetic.
Apologies for minor mistake.
"literally holds the ratio is TWO FULL DAYS"
I'm not sure where you are getting this from. Each update for this precinct differs from the previous ratio. Are you considering close ratios to be "the same"?
I have work to do - may check in later.
Nothing is "transferred". The 1:14 ratio happens 17 times for 17 different precincts. Never twice for any of them.
transferred within one timestamphappens in other precincts
Multiple precincts are updated at once.
the precinct updates multiple times and injects 1 Trump vote, 13 Biden votes (starting on timestamp 158) to maintain the ratio (precinct 52-05).
1:13 is a different ratio.
We're already considering 3000 precincts, 7 updates * 3000 precincts, 7 updates = 400 million combinations. Ratios can be found in many ways so even more chance of collisions.
If we say that 1:13 is kind of close to 1:14, that's an astronomical number of comparisons to find a pattern.
Take a step back and reconsider.
I made a plot of the collisions here https://kekpe.pe/i/5fbba8ea42a4e.png
Cool vid but did you read my replies?
Nothing is transferred - some number ratios come up with different precincts but with hundreds of millions of chances this is unsurprising.
I'm pretty sure that analysis is bad.
I looked at the previous Pennsylvania data and one the claims of "ratio transfer" and there was nothing to see. Vote ratios did not "transfer", the same ratios simply happened for other precincts.
No precinct has the same ratio twice with later updates.
The penn data had 3110 precincts with an average of about 7 updates each.
That's 3000730007 possible combinations. Over 400 million combinations without considering that the ratios themselves can be found multiple ways; 1:2, 4:8, 13:26...
- Note that in virtually all these comparisons the number of trump votes is very small. I'm sure there's an interesting mathematical reason for that.
From this we get 3720 ratios that are shared between different precincts at different times. This is unremarkable and not proof of anything.
The submitted image shows "ratio collisions" at the same time, but there are still a huge number of opportunities for collisions due to the large number of precincts and times to compare. (It is also not clear from the image whether these collisions happened at the same time or overlap.)
If you are stuck for a puzzle, find out why the MixD in this plot https://twitter.com/ClimateAudit/status/1326905529160126464 has no trend. Here's a similar replication of McIntyres's plot but sorted by totaldem/totalrep rather than "PC1": https://kekpe.pe/i/5fbb2fec03f23.png. The MixD series is not like the others. I suspect they are biden-only ballots.
I think this pattern should be looked at in other states/localities where we can get a similar breakdown separating Biden-only or "mixed dem" votes.
what is a "pre-sink"?
Some numbers:
486595 rows of data, 3110 districts, 18204 unique ratios for trump, (18432 for biden) 26725 unique combinations of district/ratio for trump, (26739 for biden) ~about 7 updates per district.
A ton of chances for collisions.
Ignoring repeats of the same data ..
The most popular ratios for total_div_trump are
total_div_trump=∞, count=155 total_div_trump=32, count=31 total_div_trump=6, count=29 total_div_trump=35, count=29 total_div_trump=34, count=28 total_div_trump=19, count=27 total_div_trump=20, count=26
For all of these the repeats of the same ratio are not for the same precinct. Not even once.
All we have is the same ratios appearing more than once.
The data may look suspicious in 100 ways but the "ratios being transferred" is not one of them.
I think we should mark this one as a mistake.
The PA data is is not the smoking gun it seems. I suspect this is the same.
The above video shows the certain clusters of precincts had certain ratios (ie 1:40, 1:48...in favor of Biden) designated to them.
The ratios happened - once only - for each precinct/ratio pair. The video makes this unclear by scrolling past identical data with different timestamps (i.e. no update).
TRANSFER THEIR DESIGNATED RATIOS
some ratios occurred again for different precincts, but nothing suggests they were "transferred"
No precinct has, for example, 2:1, 4:2, 6:3.. each ratio/precinct pair is unique.
Looks damning.
Does anyone have the the data used to reproduce the "incremental_vote_pct_" columns?
I think you have overstated your case.I downloaded the data and ran some queries.
Every ratio/precinct pair occurs only once and is repeated without change. The same ratio is never repeated for the same precinct. The ratio occurs again only with other precincts.
The ratios are not transferred - they occur again, which is crucially different.
[Voting system] reassigns the same "ratio set" to different (random) precincts throughout the day
See above.
Wisconsin is cut off the image.
try again