I know I shouldn't be overly optimistic about our future, since a person confident in one's future is one who gets complacent and lazy. Look at what happened when the left were confident in Hillary back in 2016. But there is some reason to look towards the future.
We are currently in a tidal wave of nationalism. Look at France, look at Britain, look at Germany, look at America. The neoliberal-neoconservative establishment is cracking at the foundations. The National Rally, UKIP/Brexit, AFD, and our own MAGA movement are sweeping across the Western World.
The establishment have locked down almost all of these movements, but they still have to endure trying times ahead. Demographically, Europe is on the verge of collapse, and China is not far behind. Out of the three great powers, only the US has the young population to stave off demographic collapse for the next few decades.
It's in this kind of environment which we thrive, where another decade of establishment failures, followed by a collapse of the global trade system due to demographic structures will allow our movement to absorb the right. Its in times of chaos when the old order is destroyed and a new order is allowed to be forged. With the establishment in chaos, the populists will be able to take over and redefine the system as we know it.
This is our opportunity, I'm sure this opportunity will show up, the collapse of the old world order is long coming, but we are not the only ones who could seize the opportunity. There are populists on the left as well as the right, and it is a race between the two on who gets to define the future.
There is hope, but we have to seize it. Never stop fighting, and ensure when the dust settles, it is the founding principles of our republic on top of the ashes, so we can forge something great anew.
Some background, I am a pede who studies a lot into geopolitics. I see a lot of people dooming a bit, and I decided to share a bit of my knowledge on the upcoming death of globalism to cheer people up.
I see a lot of people mourning the death of our republic, and I see people holding out hope against insurmountable odds. But I'm here to provide an alternative view that looks at the long term, and explain why the global order as we currently know it is doomed. The following is based largely on demographic and economic data, and it could be determined as good news to many of our pedes.
We weren't the underdogs in this story, not really. The patriots are a rising force against the dying forces of globalism, and though they have beaten as back with this one battle, the trajectory forward is clear. Globalism is built on the concept that the globe must come before the nation, that governments should prioritize the people of other nations before that of their own, to unify the world under some post-national state and instate a new world order. That entire possibility is going to die next year.
To understand why, you need to understand demographics. Those from age 20-40 are generally speaking, consumers. They're young, they're buying houses, going to university, raising kids, they're the primary drivers of an economy. But they're also less experienced in their jobs, meaning they make less, and often have to take on more debt to pay back their expenses. Those from 40-60 are generally speaking, producers. They're old, they've booted the kids out of the house, they've paid off the mortgage and are saving for retirement. They spend less, but due to many decades working in their jobs, they are the most high paid of the groups, are the main investors in a market, and also make up a majority of the government's tax base.
Finally are those 60 and over are the retired demographic. From this point on, you stop spending and stop producing, you sit back and slowly draw down your social security spending. Large retirement populations in a nation are a burden on the economy, since the young people have to provide for the old people. This isn't to say we should leave seniors to die, but it is a fact that retirees end up being a net burden on society after they retire. All of this is an oversimplification, but I hope it will help better explain my argument.
The world has three main economic powerhouses: Europe, China, and America. Europe has a large bulge in their 50's to 60's range, these are the Baby Boomers, most Western nations have a bulge here. But they don't have much in the younger demographics. They have an imbalance between their 40-60 year olds and 20-40 year olds, and because they produce more than they consume, they have a surplus of goods. Rather than trying to sell the surplus goods in their own market, and lowering the price, and therefore the wages of their workers, they sell overseas to countries whose demand outpace supply.
On the opposite end are nations like the ones in Africa. They have a huge amount of 20-40 year olds compared to their 40-60 year olds. They consume much more than they produce, and therefore must import to make up the difference. This was a beneficial relationship, the export led economies sold to the import led economies, and everyone became happier as a result. Back in 2000, there was an even balance, the export led economies like Europe and Japan sold to the import led economies like China and Brazil.
That was 20 years ago, and now the system is off balance. Europe is now 20 years older, and most of its population lies on the brink of retirement. They remain an export led economy, but now they have competition. China, which used to be an import led economy aged rapidly, thanks to their one child policy and became export led. They now have a bulge in their population around the 40-60 range, which is why they primarily export manufactured goods. Nations like Thailand, China and Brazil are aging much faster than the Western nations, and have become export led economies much faster than their Western counterparts, while the Western nations are lapsing into retirement led economies, but are still export led. There is now an imbalance, too many sellers and not enough buyers, too much production and not enough consumption.
Now, note how I haven't mentioned the demographics of the United States yet, because it is rather special among the Western World. The US is neither import led nor export led, they have a balanced demographic between their Baby Boomers and their almost as large Millennial generation. They produce and consume in equal measure, and are not dependent on the world trade system to buy/sell like most of the world is. As well, it is the United States which ensure naval access to the global oceans with their aircraft carriers. (They have over 2/3rds of the world's total carrier power by tonnage, meaning no nation or coalition of nations could replace them on the oceans) In other words, the US provides the global trade system while being the only nation which does not benefit from it.
But due to the one China policy, and Europe's low native birthrate, the US remains one of the only powers set to continue growing in the coming years. Europe, China, Russia, Japan, all the other major powers which could challenge US hegemony are set to age horribly. The magical year which this happens is 2022, when a critical mass of the Baby Boomers enter mass retirement, only one year from now. From that point onwards, all the Western powers outside the United States and France go into demographic contraction.
China follows shortly afterwards, they have a housing bubble eerily similar to the 2008 housing bubble, but only on a much larger scale. If the US ever decides to leave the global trade order, the US is the world's largest oil exporter, China imports 70% of their oil. The US is energy self-sufficient, China is not. The US has open access to the global oceans. China is boxed in by the First Island Chain. China can only survive if the US continues prying open the trade lanes. And even if the US remains benevolent to the world order, China's own demographic contraction begins 2030.
My point is with this is that at latest, after 2030, the US will be the only standing pillar left of the global economy. And I believe with this will die the idea of globalism. With international trade gone, and international relations all but useless, as the US has nearly everything it needs at home, I believe the US would eventually go isolationist. With the public sick and tired of entanglements in the Middle East, and nothing of value in the wider world, the US will have no self interest in patrolling the world.
And remember, without the US Navy, the global trade system shatters. Europe is demographically aging, but its not aging equally. The South and Eastern Europeans, stereotypically the poorer Europeans, will age terribly. If you look at a demographic pyramid of nations like Italy, Spain or Greece, you will see they are shaped like an arrow. When the baby boomers of those nations retire, their pensions will cave in their economies worse than it already has. With no options left and already a crippling debt problem, they will likely turn to Germany for aid, but Germany won't be of much help. They are aging as well, they will face the same problems as the Southern and Eastern Europeans, not as severely, but still. They are unlikely to help if they are already struggling, and may trigger a public outcry for an exit from the European Union if their people become angry for aiding people in other nations when their own nation is suffering.
Aside from Germany, there are two other nations which could bail out the broken economies of the south. Great Britain and France. But Great Britain left the European Union this year, (Great timing, if you ask me, one year before this shitshow happens.) leaving the retirement of an entire continent on a single nation, France.
This is very likely the end of the EU, as the richer nations refuse to pay for the retirement funds of an entire continent, and more Euro-separatist movements pop up in France, Germany, and around the periphery of Europe. As well, this may mark the end of the ideology known as social democracy, which was only able to thrive because the US provided for their defense, and the remaining European nations would have to choose between funding their welfare state or their own defense.
With global trade gone, the ideology of globalism dies a quiet death, and the new age of nationalism appears, especially in the United States. By 2030, the US is the world's uncontestable superpower. Think of the position the US was back at the end of WW2, if the Soviet Union didn't exist. As the world erupts into chaos, the US will be the last bastion of order. The last superpower, the last economic power, the last military power in the world. The power wielded by the US by this point inspires a new era of American exceptionalism, and compared to the state of the rest of the world, it would be exceptional.
2022 is the magic when this happens. The battle isn't over yet, but at least the battle against globalism will eventually be won.
Currently, I'm sure that plenty of people are afraid of the "minority majority" future of the US pushed by the Census Bureau, people on the left trying to act like they own the future, and actual racists trying to fearmonger.
I will now explain why this is nonsense. If you look at a graph at the impending minority by 2040, the primary reason for the "white minority" is the massive growth of the Hispanic population, from 16% to 30% by 2050. But let me ask you, what exactly is a Hispanic?
You might be thinking of a Mexican brown person, but according to the US Census: "Hispanic or Latino to refer to a person of Cuban, Mexican, Puerto Rican, South or Central American, or other Spanish culture or origin regardless of race."
Note that, regardless of race. There isn't such a thing as the Hispanic race, it just means someone who has Spanish or Latin American culture or origin. Out of all the Hispanics in the US, about 53% of them are white. Out of all the people in Mexico, about 47% of them are white.
By 2040, the date of the feared white minority, if we split off the Hispanic group back into its component parts (white, black, indigenous, mixed, etc): The US is 60% white, 45% non-Hispanic, and 15% white Hispanic.
Except that brings us with the second big problem of this ethnic prediction, and it has to do with how the Census Bureau defines Hispanic. The Census Bureau basically treats Hispanic ethnicity like an incurable disease. For example, Ted Cruz is half Hispanic, he's half Cuban, and half Irish. H'e already fairly white, though he has a tan from living in Texas most of his life. Cruz married a wife who is North European, and their children look super white.
Despite this, because of Cruz's half Cuban origin, all of his children would be identified as Hispanic, even though they are of 3/4's European ancestry, possibly more because Cruz's Hispanic ancestry probably has a lot of white in it (see above).
The Census sets that any Hispanic blood is enough to be considered Hispanic. Even if a person is 1/1024th Hispanic, the same way Elizabeth Warren is Native American, they aren't counted as white in the census, they're Hispanic. So what they really mean is that by 2040, 30% of people will have at least a single drop of Hispanic blood in them.
That, and the fact that race-mixing becomes increasingly common by 2040, and most children of mixed-race descent still identify mostly as white. Depending on how you classify white, the percentage of people in the US who are "white" might actually grow.
The US has assimilated tons of ethnicities before. The original English identity has now absorbed ethnic Scots, Irish, Germans, Italians, and many more. The US is now 7% English, but the US is still a very English nation. The nation still primarily speaks English, and aside from Spanish, other European languages (including German, who now make up a larger percentage of the American population than the English) comprise less than 3%.
I got a tip from my friend and I tested it out on a private subreddit I had. A post with both title and text as "thedonald.win" didn't appear, but another one I posted with both title and text as "aaa" did show up.