I lined up because my absentee ballot hadn't been received yet when I checked. Here in MN, the state elections website says that you can show up in person to change your vote. However, I was told that since it was merely received by now, I couldn't cast a new vote. Doesn't matter since I've been on the train a few years now, but this is a problem if it happens to people legitimately trying to change their vote after the last few weeks
That differential really depends on how much the enthusiasm affects down ballot candidates. Last election we saw a lot of people voting for Trump, but still voting D down ballot. This time, running against the Democrats as a whole rather than just Hillary could translate to a lot more votes for Senators and Reps. I personally see anything in the 52-55 range as reasonable.
Wore an American flag and a 2A mask on two different Delta flights recently, only attention it got me was a conversation starter with a based business traveler next to me who, like me, was a third party voter in 2016, but will enthusiastically be voting Trump in November
Especially with the new poll showing a dead heat, I'm more confident of this than ever. McMuffin got 53k votes here, at 1.8%. Trump probably wins back a lot of those voters, since he's shown he'll govern as a conservative.
Minnesota has open primaries. I'm thankfully a few hundred yards too west to vote in that district, but I know plenty of conservatives who are voting for Melton-Meaux, as well as plenty of liberals who can't stand Omar. Her opponent is incredibly well-funded, and has been running a lot of positive ads rather than attack (those are just coming from all the PACs on both sides though). I think it could be close, but given the Somalian population making up a good part of her district, I think she holds on unfortunately
Latter parts of this claim are disputed by anyone who's interacted with liberals