Apparently it HAS been used successfully in court before. I want to check now.
Edit: Ooh, this is going to be good -- "Since about 1989, Benford’s Law has been used to detect fraud in financial statements. And more recently in demographic data and research reports. It is admissible evidence in federal, state, and local courts of law. It has been used to test regression coefficients in scientific papers, and to detect anomalies in health care data. It has been used on Iranian election data to demonstrate probable fraud. Also, several years after Greece joined the European Union, Benford’s Law was used to analyze the financial data Greece used in their application."
ANY data set should (as long as it doesn't have some restricted set of values, like people's heights (all start with 4, 5, or 6 basically) or phone numbers. I was amazed as I learned about it that things like the heights of the tallest buildings -- no matter what units you use! -- conform to Benford's Law. Even more powerful, when you check the second digit as well (it follows a different prediction distribution), you can combine them to make a very powerful case mathematically that foul play is afoot.
I came here from the other thread, this is excellent. Just a bit of digging into Benford's Law analysis reveals very clear fingerprints of this kind of vote tampering. I want to build a spreadsheet that you can drop county data into, get a quick Benford graph, and post the results. Thanks for the inspiration and links!
I know! This one made me laugh so hard in 2016, though I don't think that channel hates Trump. Hill Dawg, If If If If, Okie Doke, and Why Why Why Biden...
That's amazing, good work! I signed up to be ballot counter for the primaries, and I did a good job taking notes and such, so they made me a Head Moderator for this coming general election! Time to bring truth and light to the process.
Smash that upvote, then get off your phones and computers, go outside, and spend time with your family! I'm going to right now.
Don't get complacent with this good news, pedes. We know we've got a great silent majority, but we need to out-vote BOTH legitimate Democratic votes AND all the cheating schemes they have cooked up. It needs to be a true red wave to unequivocally work.
Pedes, I volunteered over the summer to help count absentee ballots in my small town over the summer. I did a good job documenting my work during the primaries, so they've made me head moderator for the big one coming up! Voter fraud? Not on my watch. I am going to audit the whole process as I take part in it, tip to tail.
I agree, and I'd go further to say that 'global temperature' is a meaningless term. Any given spot on the earth can fluctuate dozens of degrees in any given day and over seasons; trying to boil down even thousands of regional temperature into one single number AND measure it down to the tenths or hundredths... ridiculous. And then track that number over decades. It just strips real data of all nuance and legitimacy.
Some of the events celebrated (from the sample pages):
Whoa, I didn't know about the Chris Rock / McCain joke connection. One more weak argument from my relatives, gone!
What Three Words is a convenient way to tag locations (every 10 feet in a grid with random words) that don't have street addresses.
Good advice, and there are already tons of comments on the announcement post saying the same -- please don't do this now, wait until after election.
Thank you! That is great to hear and also matches my own thinking. Some days I'm just ready to go elsewhere, but that also feels like it'd be taking the easy way out. I see God's plan for me so evident in this situation, and we are indeed putting deep roots down, so I'll endeavor to stay faithful despite feeling like a hidden fraud some of the time. I'm not hidden or shy about my Christianity, but I just know I'd be de facto blacklisted if I came out as a Trump supporter.
Thank you, this is great encouragement and I think you're right. I think if I were single (married 20 years now!), I'd be much more motivated to shake the system up, but you're right, each new group of kids coming through needs someone with power (such as it is) on their side. I just need to quietly ID those kids and let them know I'm there for them.
Thanks.
The point is the chance to still affect dozens or hundreds of young people per year without being shunned, blacklisted, and driven out. I'm a well respected member of the school. I kind of agree with you, I feel like a hidden lurker sometimes, but I don't lie. I am well known as a catastrophic climate change skeptic while still maintaining great scientific integrity... I think that makes people assume other views I have, but I don't need to rub in their faces. I guess your comment mirrors the internal debate I have with myself constantly, especially these last four years.
I would bounce back for sure, I have a lot of experience and skill... but I don't want to be fired, I love it here and have a lot invested. My family is putting roots down here, and I don't need to have an easy life surrounded by people who think like me. I take pride in being there for the hidden majority among these students.
Thanks, chief, I always like that encouragement. I agree, I shouldn't jeopardize this job, I'm one of the only people standing between these young minds and straight up brainwashing as they head to college. If not me, who? So I stay, but I am ineffective if I do or say nothing. So I have to be smart and subtle.
I'm a science teacher, but I do have one nice chance: an astronomy class in the spring term that doubles as a 'worldview' class. So I get to teach critical thinking, logical argumentation, and testing ideas. I get to red pill many kids a year that way simply by having a place to let them question everything. For some, it's already too late, but I catch many juniors and seniors. I never proselytize, I simply give them a chance and context to question their beliefs.
If not fired for some reason (they could come up with anything based on lies if they're motivated enough), at least not asked back. We don't have any kind of long term contract; we're 'asked back' from year to year. All they'd have to do is just not ask me back and off I go in June.
I do indeed have skills, but I love what I do, have been here almost 20 years, have a lot invested. Leaving (which I've thought about) would mean uprooting my whole family, my kids (though we are wisely homeschooling now), our church, lots on the line. Plus, if I leave, what do these kids do? So many would be brainwashed without my being there to support them. I often feel like a soldier posted behind enemy lines, so I need to stay put to help the flow of kids through here. If I won't, who will?
Yes, and I just found out today they want me to be the head moderator because I documented my counts so well! So I accepted, and I'll be in a position to make sure we get the counts right and are ready for an audit. Again, a small town that won't make much difference (probably), but hopefully every town in the US can get some honest pedes working.
I signed up early this summer and worked the primaries in our little town. Although our votes won't make much difference in this bluest of states (CT), I've already observed and called out shady practices in the Dem counters side and helped get the record right on a long election night. Just the prelude to the big election!
It's not proof, but it is definitely evidence that has been used in court cases at every level!