Why cant we see the numbers here? We always complained that reddits numbers weren't accurate, so our solution here was to display no numbers?
Its real, its from https://vivabarneslaw.locals.com/post/203182/welcome-to-viva-barnes
I wonder if this is about the ballot shredding that happened yesterday?
as is tradition
He made a follow up video that addresses this.
Very soon we will be releasing our evidence that we released 3 days ago.
Well they have what, like 3 more days to get it done? Tick Tock
You know it would be a great time to announce some big shit, while DC is having a huge Trump rally.
well either way its not negative votes
P and C ARE correlated in real life though, that's the point of his analysis.
The data point we are refering to indicates that 5% (X) of republican straight party voters voted for Trump, while 25% of single candidate voters voted for trump. 5-25 =-20 giving (X=5,Y=-20)
If 5% of the people that voted straight party ticket voted republican (a positive number of people), and 20% of the people that voted single candidate voted for Trump (a positive number of people), you would get 5%-20% = -15% difference. The -15% is not how many people voted, as that number is still positive, its just the difference in % of the 2 catagories.
Why though? Column C should be Trumps share of people that voted for him but didn't vote straight party. That's what Dr. Shiva used, and its not what you're using. You're letting your conclusion drive your data.
Guy is also claiming Trump got negative votes around 4 minutes, he clearly doesn't understand the graph he's looking at.
Why does your data in column C start with a higher % than column A, but end with a lower percent than column A? If they were the same value, or a constant ratio you would get a straight line. Edit, should say a constant difference, not ratio, since the % is already a ratio.
That's not true, the X axis is (# of people that voted straight party republican ticket option / total number of republicans and dems that voted straight party ticket option). The Y axis is (# of people that voted Trump but didnt vote straight party ticket option/ total # of people that didnt vote straight party ticket option) - X axis data. The Y and X axis are independent data sets (excluding the subtraction of the Xaxis data) , one does not include the other, one doesnt have to go down if the other goes up and vice versa.
The real world correlation says that as the X axis % increases, so will the Trump vote on the Y axis, thus negating it.
In the analysis Trumps share of total votes doesn't include the votes from republican only ballots, its just the % of people that didnt vote straight party but did vote Trump. the % that voted dem wont effect either column.
A negative slope is expected with random values, the point is the correlation between Republican straight party vote and Trump single vote is not random, you would expect it to be a fairly constant ratio, aka a straight line.
Your plot has 0-100% on the X axis, but only 0-10% on the Y axis. Also if you assume an equal % of Republican share and Trump share % then it would be a straight line at y = 0. Your data itself has a downward trend in that you start with 10% more Trump share on x = 0, and end with 5% less Trump share linearly at X = 1
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