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PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +2 / -0

While he calls himself a mathematician, he most certainly is not, he's a comedian/youtuber/writer. You can't even find a CV for him (likely because it would show no advanced degree(s) in mathematics).

He has contributed exactly zero in the world of actual mathematics research (as in papers/ texts other than simple-minded popularizations, etc).

I'd take Steve Miller's analysis before Parker's any day of the week.

-2
PepeLePewPewPew -2 points ago +1 / -3

Dude is a douche nozzle.

styxhexenhammer666, salty cracker, et al. beat the shit out of him IMO.

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +2 / -0

All that clown does is read (and slowly at that) other news stories off the web. No less irritating than the robot-voice-synth 'tube "news" channels that do the same. He can't even be bothered to put links in the description to the stories he just reads.

Styx, among others, beats the crap out of that douche in actual interesting commentary.

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +2 / -0

This appears to be the author: https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/gg5nuc/covid_deaths_in_us_counties_divided_by_thirds/

A quick run of datasets I've been using shows it to be accurate to its intent.

1
PepeLePewPewPew 1 point ago +1 / -0

The fact the misused "reign" when the correct word is "rein" tells one all they need to know about salon.

-1
PepeLePewPewPew -1 points ago +1 / -2

The manuscript is under review, in fact, after a storm of letters from other researchers. You can easily look this up.

Raoult is a seriously slimy dude, has been caught multiple times faking data and research.. You can easily look this up.

The only randomized proper study that has released preliminary results for the same protocol regimen show no effectiveness. You can easily look this up.

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +3 / -1

The translation of the money shot is (roughly):

The Council of the College of Doctors threatens Prof. Raoult with immediate suspension of activity, because his clinical trials "do not comply with official procedures", and he risks up to a year in prison and 15,000 euros fine.*

This is in regards to his useless, seriously flawed, "studies" on Chloroquine/Azithromycin for covid-19.

-1
PepeLePewPewPew -1 points ago +1 / -2

Was refused for publication, and has not been reproduced.

I'd like as much as anyone to see this regimen to be shown effective, but a reproducible, quality randomized protocol is needed to do so. These are underway.

The ref'd paper is junk.

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +2 / -0

No worries, and I concur: the recent spate of additional seroprevalence surveys out of Germany, New York, Los Angeles, etc. are pointing to an IFR of 0.2-0.5%, so definitely in the same ballpark as influenza, and certainly not the doomsday numbers bandied about.

Sweden seems to have gotten it right here: keep the vulnerable out of reach (old and/or significant comorbidities), let the rest carry on life with minimal interference (groups < 50 or so per gathering), build herd immunity until sheltered can reenter society.

With only a slightly higher deaths/millions rate, seems to be working out well for them.

Here, this is more and more looking like power drunk state governments, though to be fair at least some may be doing this with good intentions, based on poor data.

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +2 / -0

Eh, just post the headline and be done with it.

All that faggot does is re-read the shit, slow enough a fourth grader could do it faster, and instead of posting links to references in the description so we can go to source and read it, he fills it with "buy my stuff and send me money" shit.

Styx is far superior for actual commentary on events and stories.

3
PepeLePewPewPew 3 points ago +3 / -0

Because the numbers CDC publishes are after resolution of the season.

Until this outbreak is resolved, the best estimates for it are from IFR via seroprevelance and confirmed case fatalities, or alternatively CFR from confirmed case fatalities.

Taking current deaths vs total population is providing no useful information for comparison when one component is resolved and the other isn't.

Let's not post nonsense that makes the sub look naïve.

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +2 / -0

"you can simply take the cdc number and divide by the total population to get the number".

Well, you can just pick a number out of a hat then. What you've done is a pretty meaningless comparison.

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +3 / -1

You are confusing mortality rate with CFR/IFR.

0.01% is most certainly not "... several magnitudes higher." than 0.002% (it's not even 1 order of magnitude).

In any case, the average CFR for seasonal flu is ~0.1%, I have no idea where you come up with "0.01%".

The gist of your post somewhat holds, in light of the recent study of seroprevalence out of Stanford for a large California county. There, the IFR for covid-19 appears to be within an order of magnitude of that for seasonal flu, with the caveat that the latter's IFR may be an overestimate since the level of testing done for influenza is less covering than the study's testing.

1
PepeLePewPewPew 1 point ago +1 / -0

Will watch. Are patients put on these having sigh breaths incorporated into the mode used? Couple of recent studies indicate this is beneficial.

3
PepeLePewPewPew 3 points ago +4 / -1

Yes, it says right at the CDC site:

"COVID-19 death counts shown here may differ from other published sources, as data currently are lagged by an average of 1–2 weeks."

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +3 / -1

"So as a physician, obviously my inclination is to take this serious."

Check your grammar.

"Herd immunity tends to kick in when a country’s population (approximately 60%) gets infected and builds immunity to an illness."

No, herd immunity occurs when the proportion of the population immune results in Re being brought to <=1, meaning for this virus' range of R0, 29%-74% of the population would need immunity (the wide span is due to our still not having a firm handle on R0 for SARS-CoV-2).

"1% of 198 million is 198,000."

Check your math.

2
PepeLePewPewPew 2 points ago +2 / -0

Yep, as of today 10 of the 12 worst hit are democrat run, while 10 of the 12 least hit are not...

https://imgur.com/FyQ7HkD

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