We don't actually. When Trump holds Florida, Arizona and Michigan he wins with 276 electoral college votes. That being said he will win Wisconsin and Pennsylvania too.
The states to watch are Nevada, New Hampshire and Minnesota for all could be picked up by Trump this cycle compared to 2016.
He is missing that one district in Maine that Trump will surely get to put him at 331. New Mexico is really optimistic in my view. I also have Nevada as the surprise state that Trump wins that isn't supposed to be in play.
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Doesn't matter when the defense brings their own experts that contradict that testimony. I still am pretty convinced he will walk on all charges.