The graph is very regular. Except this week.
Deaths lag cases by three to four weeks. I’ve watched this for a while, and since April, the death rate, the ratio of cases to three week lagging deaths has dropped from four percent to 1.4 percent.
If the 1.4 percent rate holds, we can expect a slight increase in number of deaths, because cases were still rising three weeks ago.
This is not a spike, and I bet it’s much lower than most people expect. I bet the death rate continues to drop.
The seven day average is up about 40. Hardly a blip, considering cases are nearly doubled from a month ago.
More importantly, since April, the death rate has dropped two-thirds.
That’s the percentage of people dying among reported cases.
Except for surgery (4) my eye doctor just reads and interprets the results of tests done by techs.