A lot of the unaffiliated voters will move towards trump or Kanye. Kanye is on the ballot here, he will be 3rd on the ticket. Trump has a real chance here, I would have to say its 50/50 as MN was the last state to get called for Clinton 4 years ago.
even though Donald does not seem to be coming back, the family is on the ground here.
I am not super worried about NC but somewhat worried about AZ. Without AZ he would need one of MN or WI (10 each) and MI (16) or PA (20). If he did get AZ all he would need is one of MN, WI, Mi or PA.
I wonder why he is not going to AZ? That path of victory is a lot easier. One explanation is that he knows that its voting red. the other is that its out of the way of his current campaign stops. I would like to think its option 1.
I dont think we will be seeing GEOTUS again since his crowd numbers were stifled here by the Gov. It would send a good message about how shitty the MN government is but I think he got the point across last Friday. I want him to keep his focus on MI and PA. Where he has a better chance of getting more electoral votes and better crowd numbers.
PA does not have early in person voting but it has vote by mail. I heard an estimate that they need a %70 lead to win that state before polls open on Tuesday. Also 1% to 2% of mail in ballots will be rejected to them being naked ballots. They have to put the ballot in a security ballot and then in a mailing ballot to complete the process. If they voter does not do that, their vote will be invalidated.
Trump has the auto workers on his side. He has done everything in his first term to slap tariffs on vehicles if the car companies start out sourcing their cars to mexico. Trifalger group has Trump with an 1.5% lead on a new poll from yesterday.
I think this is an incredibly realistic scenario. I told my dad last week not to worry about trump not getting re-elected. We need only one of PA, MI, WI or MN. I seriously think the rest of the map will fall into place the way it is. I think at least the one state between the 4 will be MI.
Agreed, let's go nevada!