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artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

I haven't seen that, yet. Is it possible you were looking at a doen-ticket race?

1
artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

It is, indeed, confusing; let me try to provide some illumination.

The large numbers beneath each candidate are the actual current totally votes counted; they do not represent the final vote totals, and will change before the evening is over.

The percentage being displayed is calculated based on the displayed vote totals. These numbers, too, will change as the night goes in.

All if the networks use at least one exit polling service, and they use the results of these exit polls to call races, if the exit poll data is definitive enough. It is still possible that the final vote totals will be different; but the statistical odds are fairly predictable.

Hope that explanation is useful...

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artfuldodgersr 2 points ago +2 / -0

Yes, traditionally the networks all rely on the same exit polling service company, although the events of the last 3 elections may have taught them to diversify.

Nevertheless, the check marks you see are, indeed, based on projections, not actual votes.

Still and all, the projections are usually pretty accurate, but not always. It's probably safe to accept the projections tonight, though; I imagine both the exit poll interviewers and the news producers are going to be extra cautious. Well, except for the Clinton New Network, and MSDNC...

1
artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

Trump Admin: "You're fired."

Professional Traitor: "If you fire me, I'll fight you in court."

Trump Admin: "You can do that, if you choose. If you do that, however, we intend to charge you with treason. We know everything you have done to act against this administration, and our case is strong. We'll be seeking the death penalty. You're move."

2
artfuldodgersr 2 points ago +2 / -0

Off the top of my head, here's a couple of thins you should try:

- If the extension is `.jpeg` change it to `.jpg`
- The actual error message indicates that the file size is too large. You can use The Gimp (https://www.gimp.org/downloads/), a free, open source image editor to reduce the file size; the help is pretty good.

Hope that helps!

1
artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

IANAL, but I think, legally, you can be self-employed but not working...

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artfuldodgersr 2 points ago +2 / -0

Guilty of treason for voting for Slow Joe? No.

Guilty of bad judgement? Definitely.

2
artfuldodgersr 2 points ago +2 / -0

Some states,.like California and probably Michigan, are going to drag it out in an attempt to "make" Biden win. I'm.pretty certain the ballot-forging operation that was busted in Texas is also happening in MANY democRAT enclaves. Not only for POTUS, but for the House and Senate, as well.

Our saving grace will be the sheer number of Trump voters that are absolutely RABID about voting in person on Nov 3rd. The Dem turnout is probably going to be tepid at best, because of Covid-19, or because the Biden Scandal has demoralized them so much they just won't have the energy to go out.

There really isgoing to be a MASSIVE Red Wave next week, and the Dems and the Mainstream Media are going to be absolutely shocked by 10 or 11 p.m.

I can't wait!!!

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artfuldodgersr 7 points ago +7 / -0

Point of Clarification: Lude DID NOT give Guiliani anything.

Lude and his merry band of Chinese dissidents STOLE their material from the CCP's blackmail cache; the CCP has material like this on thousands (if not millions) of politicians and other notables from around the world.

Guiliani got his copy of the Hunter Biden materials from the owner of the computer repair shop where Hunter abandoned it, because he was too drunk when he dropped it off to remember where he left it. After 90 days, the laptop legally became the property of the computer repair shop owner, who found all of this garbage, made a copy, then gave it to the FBI.

Who promptly hid it away and pretended nothing happened.

If Trump wins next week, expect a future investigation into obstruction of justice for whoever did the hiding...

1
artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

Calm down, you pseudo-Muslim-wannabe... (JK)

by King
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artfuldodgersr 2 points ago +2 / -0

Two sources, not two stories.

Guilianie, get all., got a copy of an image of the laptop drive from the counter repair shop owner.

Lude and GTV ostensibly got the same material from the CCP's blackmail cache, which they probably got directly from Hunter's computer via malware/spyware/trojan horse.

by T100
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artfuldodgersr 3 points ago +3 / -0

No, Trump can't run as VP because he's ineligible to take over if something happened to Pence.

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artfuldodgersr 2 points ago +2 / -0

Please forgive the length of the following reply/comment; there is a lot of information needed to provide the explanation you are looking for...

I'm going to take your question at face value, and assume you really don't know how this works.

I'm also going to assume you are talking about the public polls reported by the media; political candidates at all levels hire polling companies to do INTERNAL polls that are more accurate (honest), because they need accurate data to plan their strategies and cash layouts.

You use Google, Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, etc, to one degree or another. Every one of the social networks, as well as most other Internet entities of any size, track you both on their own sites, and off it as well.

Then everyone sells their data about you to everyone else. It doesn't matter to them if they already know whatever information is in the data they are buying; duplicate data is good, because it's confirmation -- it makes the data they already have more reliable.

Therefore, all the big companies know everything there is to know about you: your income, your political affiliations and viewpoints, your sexual orientation, your friends, family and acquaintances, what foods you like, what restaurants you frequent, your religious beliefs and activities -- you name it, they know about it. Because all that information is in your email, text messages, phone records, bank records, credit card statements, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.

Based on the things that they know, they can make some pretty good deductions about other things. For instance, if you're a registered Republican and you go to church or synagogue, you become defined as a probable conservative. Not only that, but they'll give you a value as to how conservative they think you are. This is just a really simplified example; you would not believe how intricate and involved these algorithms become, or the data relationships that get discovered when a large body of personal data about a vast number of people is data-mined. Added to that, these days they're using artificial intelligence to do the data mining: it's faster, cheaper, more reliable (usually), and returns data that is both wider and deeper in scope than what was being gathered even three years ago.

Now, image being a polling company hired by a left-leaning client who wants poll numbers to come out a certain way. You go back through your population data and identify targets to poll based on what you know about all of the possible people you could call, and run your population search with an algorithm to sift and sort until you come up with a weighted list of people to call that will give you the results you want.

And you're not identifying Democrats, Republicans, and Independents -- that's too easy. Hell, I could grab the donor data from the FEC and match it against WhitePages.com, and tell you with probably about 75% accuracy which one of those three groups everyone listed in WhitePages.com falls into .

What we're looking at is data that tells them: - Whether or not you're likely to vote - Regardless of registered party, who you are likely to vote for (e.g., Democrats who will likely stay home rather than vote for Biden, burt who can't bring themselves to vote for Trump; or, Never Trumpers in a "red" county; an Independent that has voted in the last 4 elections, and has donated to Trump, etc.)

With that information in hand, the algorithm creates a weighted list of people to call. The weighting takes into account a certain number of people that won't be reachable, or the phone number is bad; people that don't give you the answer they were expecting, and probably a few other weighting factors, as well. When they're done, they have a weighted list of people to call Once everyone on the list is either called or identified as unreachable, the results will most likely match what they were looking for, within a few percentage points.

(Incidentally, if the results of the polling don't match the expected (desired) results, the first thing they do is go back and check the call target selection algorithm -- because there can't be that many people who aren't going to vote for Biden, can there?)

I know, you think this is all just a conspiracy theory, right? Well, guess what? I am a professional, freelance programmer/developer/analyst. I'm the guy that gets called when the "stuff" hits the fan, or you need something complicated done quickly, or no one on-site knows how to do what needs to be done. And I get calls from recruiters and HR reps from all over the world asking me to create systems for them that will do these kinds of things (not polling, necessarily, but intrusive data identification and collection, nevertheless); the amounts of money they throw at me are obscene. But I won't do it, because it's too intrusive, too invasive, and, frankly, too dangerous.

I guess what I'm saying is the the third season of *Westworld" was more documentary than fiction...

And to forestall the inevitable questions about "How do I avoid Big Brother knowing everything about me?", you can't -- it's too late. Without direct governmental/judicial intervention, the Internet is "forever". It would literally take an Act of Congress to force big tech to destroy all the data about the world's citizens that they have collected. Even if we could somehow make it happen, Big Tech would just try to find another way get around it. (And there are always "forgotten backups"...)

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artfuldodgersr 4 points ago +4 / -0

As a former resident of Maine (I spent my first 35 years there), you should know that Maine is the absolute bluest of blue states. The current governor, Janet Mills, has locked the state down to the nth degree. My parents still live there, and they absolutely hate the state of the government there, right now.

If I were in your shoes, I'd go with Montana.

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artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

Well, not for nothing, but ACB is wearing a red blouse and skirt in the hearing today... :-D

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artfuldodgersr 3 points ago +3 / -0

ROFLMAO!!!

I wish I could upvote this multiple times, this is both awesome and hilarious!

0
artfuldodgersr 0 points ago +1 / -1

Ok, let me preface what I'm about to write by saying that what happened to Gen. Flynn is unconscionable and illegal is hell, and I hope that the people who did this to him get what's coming to them.

White that said...

I remember the events that went on with the Ted Stevens affair, and I remember Judge Sullivan's actions then, and they don't comport with what he is doing now. I have to wonder if there's a method to the Judge's madness, to wit:

Have you noticed that, the longer the Flynn case drags out, the more evidence of the Obama administration's nefarious actions are coming to light?

What if Judge Sullivan's hands are otherwise tied, and this is how he's decided to get evidence out into the public domain?

Thoughts?

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artfuldodgersr 2 points ago +2 / -0

8 of the bars between the "12" and the "2" are red; the rest are black...

Is this significant?

1
artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

The New York Times ALREADY published his address -- check the source URL...

The family already has some protection, and they are preparing to relocate somewhere more secure, according to some other posts I have read.

We protect our own.

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artfuldodgersr 4 points ago +4 / -0

This is both extremely disturbing, and yet, EXTREMELY HILARIOUS!!!

1
artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

I have a related question: Both sides of my family came to America from England in the late 1600's, and were Abolitionists (against slavery) from the very beginning. Later on, my ancestors were later actively involved in the Underground Railroad; I could take you up to Appleton Ridge in Maine, and show you the caves and dugouts where they used to hide escaped slaves on the last leg of their journey to Canada.

If there were going to be reparations, shouldn't the descendants of these escaped slaves be paying reparations to my family members -- on both sides -- for giving them the means to survive and thrive?

My father was only child, and I only have two sisters; but my mother was one of eight, and I have 36 first cousins. (That side of the family tends to get bored easily...)

(Half-satire / half serious; but all of the above historical facts are true...)

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artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

Color me skeptical, but I don't think Spez has a wife. At least, not as you or I would define that word...

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artfuldodgersr 1 point ago +1 / -0

While I respect the right to post this, I humbly suggest that this is not a direction we want to go in.

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