6
brother_seamus 6 points ago +6 / -0

Why do you say "need"? The Biden lead in GA is only 14k and change.

1
brother_seamus 1 point ago +1 / -0

This is a timeseries of votes as they come in from the New York Times for PA. If you want a different state, just change the name in the URL (line 4 of the script). It is piggy backing from: https://thedonald.win/p/11Q8JRzaY5/i-found-evidence-of-the-pennsylv/

1
brother_seamus 1 point ago +1 / -0

I'll say that the most useful thing to do here is actually to just spit it out as CSV and dice it in Excel. Then, replicate it in Python and paste it back up, which is the more reliable way of sharing it (versus Excel screenshot).

3
brother_seamus 3 points ago +3 / -0

Trump should get out in front of it and tweet a pledge to not count any illegal vote in his favor and invite Biden to do the same.

It's a bit of a gotcha, if Biden is stupid enough to agree, then he's already singing Trump's song and now has to go into the weeds explaining that none of it was illegal, but in the unlikely case they blah blah blah. On the other hand, if he doesn't take the pledge, then it looks way fishy.

6
brother_seamus 6 points ago +6 / -0

I'll fucking bet.

2
brother_seamus 2 points ago +2 / -0

588252+580605=1168857

1168857 * .87 / .75 = 1355874

597703+585912=1183615

If the percentage counts are right, 172k votes are missing from the 87% number. Or, another way to say it is:

1183615 * .75 / .87 = 1020357

The original number is 149k over.

I think the more likely scenario is that the original 75% number was incorrect.

16
brother_seamus 16 points ago +16 / -0

At 12:30, he listed the outstanding votes and counties:

In parenthesis, from https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/georgia/president, I'm writing votes Trump/votes Biden, Percent Trump/Percent Biden.

Bryan county: 3027 (12980/5036, 70.9/27.5) Burke county: 494 (5179/4836, 51.3/47.9) Charlton county: 17157 (3419/1100, 74.9/24.1) *Clayton county: 7408 (14743/87867, 14.2/84.9) *Cobb county: ~700 (164666/220620, 42.0/56.3) Floyd county: 682 (26721/10706, 70.5/28.2) ? county: 4713 (Forsyth is most likely what he said here, but it was inaudible, 82983/39855, 66.5/32.0) *Fulton county: 11200 (133586/368864, 26.3/72.5) *Gwinnett county: 7300 (163937/236336, 40.4/58.3) Harris county: 3641 (12567/3642, 76.7/22.2) Laurens county: 1797 (14351/7875, 64.1/35.2) Putnam county: 1552 (8182/3319, 70.5/28.6) Taylor county: 456 (2278/1109, 66.6/32.4)

This means that some 26600 votes are coming from counties Biden is currently winning, and 33519 from counties Trump is currently winning.

14
brother_seamus 14 points ago +14 / -0

How will they know if which of the MI votes are legit and which are 4 AM votes?

2
brother_seamus 2 points ago +2 / -0

I can't find that thread, can you link it? I can take some time out from working all day in code to look at different code.

4
brother_seamus 4 points ago +4 / -0

If he's down 94,000 votes, and there are 400,000 remaining (got that figure from here he'd need to win 247k to 153k, 62% of the vote.

2
brother_seamus 2 points ago +2 / -0

I think the likely thing here is that Republicans who were going to leave the party over Trump left in 2016/2017. Few stuck around for 2020 to switch-- on the other hand, those that were going to leave the Dems over Biden will do so in 2020/2021.

2
brother_seamus 2 points ago +2 / -0

Well, you got me there. I wouldn't say it was more expensive, but it was up there. A sandwich at Starbucks was 5 euros, we ate at a corner diner and it was 12 euros for pancakes, that's maybe a little shy of Midtown prices-- but it's certainly, say, Long Island City prices.

8
brother_seamus 8 points ago +8 / -0

Canada has a weird quirk whereby nationalism isn't so much pro-Canada as it is anti-US. I've only ever met one Canadian in real life who didn't, within an hour of meeting me, tell me why some aspect of Canadian government is superior to its counterpart in the US. I don't mind it in part because I get the little brother syndrome that drives it, in part because of this explanation https://youtu.be/_yKzq3ueGr8, and in part because I think Toronto is a pretty great place to visit.

But, how do you manage? I have to imagine you're absolutely inundated by it, daily. Or, do our cultural cousins like to complain about our government in private as much as we do?

11
brother_seamus 11 points ago +11 / -0

I went to Dublin last year with the family and 1, had an amazing time-- Dublin is a fantastic city, tons of history, very walkable, incredibly friendly. But, 2, was kind of shocked at how expensive everything was. I'm from NYC, I'm no stranger to expensive. How do they make ends meet?

1
brother_seamus 1 point ago +1 / -0

Boy, is that all it took to get her to break character? Weak.

We were distraught and angry at the abject injustice on display, and the police officer just asked a question to get you 1, instantly stop crying, and 2, engage him on his terms. Hard fail right there, the number of likes you were going to get has just gone thru the floor, xir. No Oscar, no trending spot, you'll be lucky to even get all your echo chamber to Facebook like this "document".

1
brother_seamus 1 point ago +1 / -0

Do we have any such thing for emails sent from Hunter's laptop? That seems like an important thing to also verify, especially as this page says, "So the Email is real, but the account could be fake, by someone claiming to be Pozharskyi."

Or, is it the case that because hunter was using [email protected] there's no digital signature in the headers?

4
brother_seamus 4 points ago +5 / -1

The article: https://archive.is/Adsmh

It's not a bad article. The guy is obviously in the bag for Biden, but he doesn't draw some conclusion, just reports what it's like to live in an enthusiasm gap that wide.

9
brother_seamus 9 points ago +9 / -0

It would be nice to include a link to this tax plan. I couldn't find it, and I couldn't find anything about being taxed on your home value. This is what I could find: https://files.taxfoundation.org/20201022151046/TaxFoundation_FF730_octUpdate.pdf and that link 1) isn't from Joe Biden and 2) doesn't include the details in this post.

I (and many others) could easily sway a dozen of never Trump liberals to Trump or a 3rd party with such a link.

23
brother_seamus 23 points ago +23 / -0

We don't need anymore reasons to vote for Trump, but okay.

1
brother_seamus 1 point ago +1 / -0

George Floyd happened in deeply blue area, with Democrat everything top-to-bottom, but was evidence of white supremacy. Now, waiting is evidence of voter suppression. Isn't it amazing! Anything that happens that's good is evidence of visionary Democratic leadership and a Brave New World. Everything that bad that happens is Drumpf, even actions done by exclusively his political opponents-- If only Trump hadn't made Cuomo ship infected old people into nursing homes, maybe none of these lines would've happened.

4
brother_seamus 4 points ago +4 / -0

No wonder the Palestinians are the darlings of the left. Is there anything more Palestinian than wearing a mask to throw a weak sucker punch that barely lands, running away right away, and then getting absolutely wrecked as you do? I submit that there is not.

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