56
handpeople 56 points ago +57 / -1

Epic, I was in T_D in 2016, they were big, but not like this, not at all.

2
handpeople 2 points ago +2 / -0

So higher price = longer odds? less chance of winning?

2
handpeople 2 points ago +2 / -0

Early vote numbers, Early mail in numbers, compared to same numbers at same time, in 2016. Thats what I am looking at for the big state. For example, in FL, Dems held early advantage of 96K votes in 2016, right now, they hold 95K vote advantage. Almost identical.

2
handpeople 2 points ago +2 / -0

We would see this if Republicans smash the election day voting. I dont think anything is pointing to that right now, but thats how we get an electoral landslide, GOP voters turn out day of in the big states like 60/40

2
handpeople 2 points ago +2 / -0

What do the sports bet odds look like?

-1
handpeople -1 points ago +2 / -3

Going to be razor fucking thin. Nobody is convinced either way. So just get ready for it, might not know the results for 10 days following.

1
handpeople 1 point ago +1 / -0

I would not doubt it. I could care less what they are saying on the Chans... Dems MUST chip away at election day numbers (they call it the red mirage) so they know we are going to do good on election day. If they dont do this, it would greatly surprise me. I am 90% sure something will come out today or tomorrow, that will be akin to the Pussy Grabbing tape.

1
handpeople 1 point ago +1 / -0

Its going to be tight in FL, we are going into election with a slight advantage. 2016 had dems +96K with early and mail in votes, this year it will be about +86K. Trump won FL by 130K in 2016, so his election day advantage was +226K. Only possible issue I see is if COVID fears actually reduce GOP turnout, because in FL, a lot of the GOP voters are old people. I am not all to familiar with AZ so I have nothing to add.

2
handpeople 2 points ago +2 / -0

No call on election night, PA and NC have extensions, so one other state at least will be too close to call, such as FL. I think FL will be counted and go to Trump a day or two later, then Trump would only need NC if we are doing the 2016 map again (which I think we are). NC and PA will get caught up in a legal battle. Once the Dems know which state they need to stop Trump, they will throw everything at it, they will throw ballots out, print ballots, do whatever. But it could be a few weeks if not months.

6
handpeople 6 points ago +6 / -0

Great Point.

1
handpeople 1 point ago +1 / -0

Looks like Michael Jackson in Japan or some shit. This is off the hook.

1
handpeople 1 point ago +1 / -0

This is insane.

3
handpeople 3 points ago +3 / -0

If he were white that would be aggravated assault with a deadly weapon, minimum of 4 years mandatory in a lot of states.

1
handpeople 1 point ago +1 / -0

Yup, I have mentally prepared myself not to expect a decision on Tuesday.

2
handpeople 2 points ago +2 / -0

Tremendously slim, horrible handsome, some people say the most handsome, I dunno, but China doesnt have slim like this, you wont see this slim in CHYYYYNA

view more: ‹ Prev Next ›