Ok, because if it were today, it would be too much of a stretch even for CNN
Thats what happens when you add up 5 or 6 numbers, divide by that amount, and a couple of those number are like +17, +18
Im thinking about 20%
Id do it as soon as possible.
Was this today?
Where do you live? PA or NC?
Id like to know where our 4/4 voters were this time last year. It would help to determine whether to expect massive GOP numbers on election day compared to 2016.
Its good, but we wont hit our #1 target he has been talking about all week. Still in good shape though.
I dont think we see anywhere near 30% black vote for Trump. I think he will do slightly better than 2016, exit polls in 2016 had Trump black support at 15-16% and at 18% this year.
Yeah 20K is low I hope we do better. The election day of Republicans will take this home for us if turnout is anywhere near 60% GOP. Really right now I am not trying to gauge who will win, I am trying to gauge how good the people analyzing this closely are, and how much is just cheer leading. I don't want to live in a bubble like libs, people are thinking 320+ electoral, and landslide, not gonna happen. I see nothing indication anything other than 2016, which fortunately is enough. I thinks dems really did do well in mail in this year so its REALLY hard to tell what being close to 2016 numbers going in means. Also I think people that are expecting a huge number of Dems going to Trump vs. 2016 are going to be disappointed. That said, Id much rather be where Trump is in FL right now than Biden.
If those are real internals, its bloodshed.
Trying to figure that out actually, seems we gained about 60K on Thursday. We are going into the weekend, do republicans keep that momentum, do dem numbers go up big time over weekend? I don't know. Polk county FL is still not reporting, so there are a decent amount of R votes there.
Do you know how much of a drop that was compared to yesterday?
Not all together, when combined with mail in, Dems still+130K those are latest number I have, a few hours old.
Yeah, what can you say, if Trump loses, country is done. We will be Canada in a decade.
Yup through Sunday
What about EV + Mail In? I thought Dems were about +130K in total
We need to gain as much tomorrow and Sunday as we gained Thursday... approximately chipping the lead away from Dems by 60K per day. That will bring us even on mail in + EV, and then its insurmountable for Dems.
Poll watchers on the ground.
If Trump wins, I will watch him like a hawk every upcoming election, if Trump loses however his followers should dump him.
The thing I am worried about is the anonymous drop boxes. SCOTUS did not decline to look at case just held off on it because they could not review again by Tuesday. Dems know who requested absentee ballots but did not return them, and there are tens of thousands.
Not on election night. PA election night is Friday, NC is following Monday.
Its not, November 1 (Sunday) is last day. We still have a ways to go here in FL, could be tight.
Yup and thats a great thing. I think this is what we be looking at, he could even lose NC too.