Pretty sure that's some bs and only 'takes effect' if 75% of states sign up, which they didn't. Even then if it didn't come from a convention of states (it didn't) it's almost a lock to be ruled as unconstitutional.
Also also, CA hasn't come in yet.
Ahahahahahahahaha he's complaining that MSM don't give progs any airtime...saying they're blacked out. LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL.
Edit - Anna just said TRUMP VOTERS are obsessed with identity politics. I thought I was just going to have to wait for a 2 min montage, I might have to go back and watch all X hours.
Edit 2 - And now they're begging for money. It's too good. Capitalism is failed, money in politics is bad, but also give us money so we can win at politics.
They can make whatever videos of me being angry and call it a meltdown all they want
YOUR TERMS ARE ACCEPTABLE.
Edit 4 - "the Latino's showed up and voted for white supremacy - they've been brainwashed into disliking socialism - it's the greatest mind trick ever played"
You guys wouldn't believe this shit if you couldn't see it for yourselves.
Basically cities go for democrats and rural areas go for republicans. Precincts don't all report at the same time, so if there are 500k rural voters in VA and 650k urban and you know 100% who will vote for who, you can call VA to the dems even if only 50% of precincts have been counted, even if Trump has 100% of the vote (if every vote is from every rural precinct).
It's been standard forecasting for decades, but it's obviously ripe for people to impose their own biases on, because nothing breaks quite that cleanly, and Trump is not a normal Republican candidate. Confounding things further is that I would say both Hillary and Biden were/are not normal dem candidates either.
So if pundits and projectors at the 'call desks' use historical data and trends they may be off, in some cases off by a lot.
I think if you want to consider yourself a journalist or a political science/history teacher it's respectable (if overly idealistic) to not vote. But then again for most of our country's history both parties actually liked America. The less that becomes true, the less advisable it becomes to sit on the sidelines.
I member thinking he wasn't a serious candidate when the primary field was still full. As people started dropping out and Trump's numbers kept going up I changed my opinion to 'ok he's like 25% serious, he'll take it if he lucks into it, but he'll spend the whole time promoting his brands and himself'.
Then the media switched. They went from cheering him on like a circus freak so they'd have something to talk about to doing fake news hit jobs left and right. I think the 'he mocked a disabled reporter' fantasy was the thing that made me start rooting for him a bit, but I still didn't plan on voting for him.
Hillary ended up being the candidate on the other side, and I remember watching the Comey presser live where he told the world Hillary was a crook and the FBI wasn't going to do jack shit about it. That's when I knew.
I wish I could remember how I found the donald. Looks like reddit deleted every post ever made there, but I know I was there the night that Comet Ping Pong's insta photos were being spread.
Mom can I go outside with my frens?
who? and what are you doing?
Awww you know...like God Emperor Trump, Zodiac Lion Ted, and Cocaine Mitch...they wanna do patriot stuff.
oh ok that's fine, Cocaine Mitch is such a lovely boy, say hello to his mother for me.
Ah I finally found the link, I knew I put it somewhere.
There's the PA data and breakdown, really it's an eye opening read.
For independent voters the math I saw going into 2016 is that roughly 30% of (I) vote for mostly Republicans and 30% vote mostly Democrat, so they aren't as 'swingable' as people like to think. If you look at the kind of people in the rust belt who switched their votes from bush to obama then back to trump...my guess is that if your message is good enough to convert some of the other party you're probably getting a plurality or majority of independents too.
https://nypost.com/2020/10/10/latest-revelations-show-team-obama-invented-russiagate-scandal/
And add to that the fact that no Americans were charged by the Mueller circus for colluding with Russians, conspiring with Russians, or changing a single 2016 vote. Meanwhile when Kevin Clinesmith pled guilty in August for his part in Obamagate (spying on Trump) It marked the reality that the Trump administration got more FBI agents to plead guilty for Obamagate related crimes than Mueller got for Russiagate related stuff.
I read an article in PA about how Obama/Obama/Clinton captured 77/75/71% of D voters while McCain/Romney/Trump got a higher and higher share of R's (over 80% I think). Of course if there are significantly more registered Dems than this doesn't equate to victory.
If anyone knew this stuff for sure we wouldn't have to wait for the results tonight, we could just project it and be done.
Because 'battleground states' like FL and OH are, statistically speaking, a good barometer for the rest of the nation. If either candidate wins florida by 5%, the are almost a lock to win enough other states to get to 270.
The trend line is fairly useless unless it's based on hour by hour Florida historical trends - which I very much doubt.
A much better graph would be the same x/y with 2016 data on the chart as well so we can see how party voting is measuring up to historical comps.
If Trump wins every state he won in 2016 except for PA, MI, and WI, he only needs to win 1 of the 3 this time around.
That is the 'normal' non biased analysis that people always used to use when judging an incumbent on election - he holds the states he won last time, what does the challenger need to do to win.
Ofc none of those asshats frame it that way.
I tuned in for 12 minutes. First minute was them complaining about their anxiety, then 7 minutes of commercials for their own shows, then 4 minutes of reading youtube comments aloud like 'you look so good today'.
At least the irony of Anna being dressed like she's going to a funeral isn't lost on them.
Polls open for me in 70 minutes, I'm gonna go early in case there's a line. Voting Time!!
Edit: got there 15 mins early and was about 15th in line. By the time everyone got situated around 6:40 EST, the line was probably 150 people long. It was a little shorter by the time I walked out of the polling location.
Nah a Biden win would be hysteria until inauguration, 3 months of fawning coverage about how Joe killed coronavirus, a happy accident that kills him, then propping up kamala by imagining hate crimes.