How many planes would it take to reposition ME troops and equipment?
https://www.thedefensepost.com/2020/11/18/us-slash-troops-iraq-afghanistan/
There's a story that Pence demanded Trump make a concession speech in return for not being 25th amendment attacked, which is initiated by the VP, I think. That would explain a lot of things. Trump did make the vid but made a deepfake, that would pass casual muster by Pence but not the close attention of his supporters. It sounds sort of like a concession but he never says that. He also emphasizes an SOS. Supporters immediately say it's fake. That's the message, this is fake, he's saying I'm not conceding I'm under duress. Then he escapes. Pence figures it out today from our reaction. Pence is angry that Trump is ungrateful (another story that may only be rumor).
It was so easily outed as a fake. That in itself suggests, but does not prove, a lot of things. For instance, one would expect China or other Big hostile actors to do a better job because of better CGI talent and studios. Apparently even an amateur now has plenty of resources to make a fake, presumably making a really good fake would take more time, I conclude whoever did this was pressed. It doesn't rule out either hostile or friendly sources. I think rather than obsessing over and over on "it's a fake," it would be more useful to examine its effect, its dissemination, its timing, and work on who really released it.
Finally you are getting it, Mr. Expert Psychologist.