5
jdtiger 5 points ago +5 / -0

A better way to look at it is being a 91.4% decrease

41
jdtiger 41 points ago +41 / -0

and from that section

Our analysis of your office's publicly available data shows that the number of rejected absentee ballots in Georgia plummeted from 3.5% in 2018 to 0.3% in 2020

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

not quite, GA (or MI) + WI + NV isn't enough. The best explanation I can come up with is he needs any 3 of those unless 1 of the 3 is NV, then he would need the other 2 to be any 2 that aren't AZ, or AZ+PA.

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

polls were closed when they called it

6
jdtiger 6 points ago +6 / -0

This needs to be stickied. This is huge. 100% incontrovertible evidence that Dems were intentionally breaking the law.

3
jdtiger 3 points ago +3 / -0

Those smug assholes from the election desk saying they are 100% certain Arizona is for Biden need to be punched in the face

2
jdtiger 2 points ago +2 / -0

yes, but doesn't that make it even more strange? Looking at ballotpedia, which is a bit behind OP's numbers, there was about 70k 3rd party votes for Prez and about 79k 3rd party votes for Gov

4
jdtiger 4 points ago +4 / -0

He also took Fredo Cuomo's side when Fredo went on that crazy rant and threatened violence against that guy in the restaurant or wherever

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

I get Trump needing 60.47% (42,994 for Trump vs 28,107 for Biden), and that's ignoring 3rd party votes

Edit: the math for anyone interested --

if Biden gets x, Trump needs (x + 14,887)

x + (x + 14,887) = 71,101

2x = 71,101 - 14,887

x = 28,107

(x + 14,887) = 42,994

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

One more question. Looking at PA, Republican/YES is at 20c, Democrat/NO is at 16c. Isn't this the same bet or am I missing something? It's like this for every one I looked at, where the Dem/NO looks like a better value for what seems to be the same bet.

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

Cool, thanks. Why have I not been using this site forever? Was looking at PA flipping since they obviously cheated their asses off, has gone from 14c to 20c since I asked

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

Can you sell along the way? Like if you buy something for 15c, then later the same bet is 75c, can you 'cash out' at 75c?

2
jdtiger 2 points ago +2 / -0

there was a post yesterday showing the 'voter fraud is disputed' message within 1 minute of the tweet which was a 1.5 minute clip of Cruz. They disputed it without even watching it.

7
jdtiger 7 points ago +7 / -0

it's just a sworn affidavit from an eyewitness. We need reliable evidence like 'anonymous sources familiar with Wayne County's thinking',

2
jdtiger 2 points ago +2 / -0

if each vote had a 99% probability of being for Biden, there is about a 1 in 398,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 chance that all 23,277 would be for Biden, and yes that's the actual odds (unless I did the math wrong)

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

Trump 2024! He'd crush Camela beyond cheatability.

2
jdtiger 2 points ago +2 / -0

with each vote a 99% likelihood of being a Biden vote it would still be 2.5 x10^-102, or alternatively a 1 in 398 duotrigintillion (99 zeros) chance

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

97% of precincts, not votes, according to here. Bad news is that apparently the precincts still out have a fuckton of Dem votes

20
jdtiger 20 points ago +20 / -0

97% of Virginia precincts reporting and Trump still up 7.3%

4
jdtiger 4 points ago +4 / -0

Trump's winning Scranton's county by way more than in 2016

2
jdtiger 2 points ago +2 / -0

-185 now. Was +165 a few hours ago

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

Bama will flip one the other way, but it was one of the 3 most conservative Dems. Michigan has a chance to flip one

1
jdtiger 1 point ago +1 / -0

-150 on my book, Biden +120

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