Just a bit more math.
Assuming that all the mail-in votes for the party goes to their candidate for the sake of argument.
That leaves 303,281 ballots not for republicans or democrats.
For Joe Biden to win the state he will need to pull at least 87% of these votes.
That would mean the final vote breakdown of the 303,281 votes would be:
Joe Biden: 263,895 (87.01%)
Jo Jorgensen: 23,826 (7.83%)
Donald Trump: 15,560 (5.13%)
Which would mean that Donald Trump would have to receive less independent votes than Jo Jorgensen.
Of course these numbers maybe off a bit if more Republicans defected than Democrats, but it wouldn't make much of a difference on how ridiculous this is.
I think it is better explained in these two post about what is going on with Pennsylvania's mail-in ballots.
Where are Trump's Mail-In Ballots in Pennsylvania?
The main jist of it is that Biden is on track to receive all the unaffiliated mail-in ballot and maybe even some of the Republican mail-in ballots if this trend continues. This post is pointing out that even in the most liberal states that this isn't the case.
Exactly, I made a post about the same exact thing yesterday.
Where are Trump's Mail-In Ballots in Pennsylvania?
I have been tracking this since Wednesday and been waiting for the votes to start going the other way, but it never happened.
I see why the Trump camp was so confident when it came to Pennsylvania on Tuesday because Biden would have to win like 90%+ of the unaffiliated mail-in count to stand a chance.
I am ashamed of my country right now.
Lets just assume that Biden gets 75% of the Unaffiliated and Late Mail-In votes there should be no way he should be able to catch up.
| Candidate | Party | Unaffiliated | Late | Total | Current | Remaining
| Trump | 586,336 | 64,413 | 26421 | 677,170 | 537,780 | 139390
| Biden | 1641825 |193,240 | 79,263 | 1914328 | 1790144 | 124,184
If there wasn't any major fuckery happening Trump should be gaining votes going forward.
Mine is down as well here in Southern Louisiana. Maybe it's a regional thing.