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metropolinational 2 points ago +2 / -0

Yes. This is why I did separate analyses for the recent and "classic" bellwethers. But you raise a good point. The idea that something happened between 2016 and 2020 that made those counties less representative is a threat. To me the defense is the sample size. First, there are a LOT of counties here. The original analysis was just the 11.Tthis is why I expanded it and searched for new bellwethers. I wanted a huge set that would provide some resistance to that specific criticism.

But if you can suggest other analyses, I am happy to do them! Definitely open to improving this!

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metropolinational 1 point ago +1 / -0

Again, happy to answer any questions about this analysis here or on DM. Please disseminate with or without attribution. If you can get this to the right people, please do so!

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metropolinational 2 points ago +2 / -0

wow thank you!! we have been looking for this type of resource! we would love to join the discord

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metropolinational 3 points ago +3 / -0

I will right now! thank you! the data is all available at the link. anyone can download it right now, by the way.

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metropolinational 3 points ago +3 / -0

No but I will right now. thank you! the data is all right there on GitHub. Anyone can download it right this second.

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metropolinational 3 points ago +3 / -0

Happy to answer any questions about this analysis. I have not seen this done yet so sorry if old news. But if this has not been done, it needs to get to the Trump team somehow!

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metropolinational 1 point ago +1 / -0

My concern is that they don't seem to care. Its like telling a cuck that if he doesn't act right his wife is going to lose all respect for him and leave him for a real man. I just don't know that this threat works with republican leaders.

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metropolinational 4 points ago +4 / -0

how sure are we about these 36 "red" states? has anyone done the math?

I trust Trump I trust Trump supporters I do not trust republicans!!

I would love some reassurance on this....

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metropolinational 2 points ago +2 / -0

We haven't even been to SCOTUS yet. Don't do this to Clarence Thomas! He has been waiting for this moment for weeks!!

Have faith and hold the line!

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metropolinational 1 point ago +1 / -0

The rest of the tweet shows its not a concession at all. He is being a responsible adult and allowing a contingency plan to play out. Hold the line!!

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metropolinational 1 point ago +1 / -0

I have downloaded this dataset but apparently its not updated to include all election data? that's what I have understood but it is not 100% clear

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metropolinational 1 point ago +2 / -1

please post a link to where you can buy this data on the 16th?

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metropolinational 1 point ago +2 / -1

have you figured out yet if the file you used is updated? many thanks!

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metropolinational 1 point ago +2 / -1

how do I find what the total should be for each county? I fear this is incomplete and I have friends that are also not showing up. but it seems like it is too many!

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metropolinational 47 points ago +47 / -0

only if the recount is honest. If done by democrats without supervision, they will just cheat again.

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metropolinational 4 points ago +4 / -0

in what website do you get this info?

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metropolinational 7 points ago +7 / -0

I am confident that we are right, but I am not at all confident that the left does not have enough control of the media and tech and all the institutions to actually pull this off. The rejected lawsuits, the media blackout and the massive banning of accounts on twitter is making me feel like they are every bit as powerful as I fear. I know a lot of liberals and trust me they have NO CLUE.

So yes, I am confident that we are right but not sure we win this one easily.

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