Whats the question? If you look at the graph close enough, I think we would think that the 2020 Blue dot (Republican Share in Philadelphia) should be higher based off the movements in the correlated sister areas Bronx and Queens. I am saying that this graph shows that something may have been off in Philadelphia. As we know Republicans have alleged widespread fraud, and this graph shows that there seems to be something off in Philadelphia at a global level.
Sometimes, I think companies dont want to make money. Fox is a prime example. They know what their customers want, but knowingly give them something else. Google knows that I am conservative, white male and gives me liberal garbage. Twitter and Facebook are the same. The world would be much better if companies gave them what they know what customers want.
I will agree with that. As it seems that you do some research into this, I was curious if you may know a good way of detecting fraud at the county level. For instance, I was going to take a look at the historical correlations from past elections across lots of the counties and see if these correlations break down in this election. For instance, it seems there are a lot of interesting correlations that break down in this election. Florida and Georgia correlation is one of them. Upstate NY going more dem and Ohio/Iowa going more rep is another.
Its proves it 100%. The evidence is HUGE. Really, what I aimed at showing was the top 200 Bell Weather Counties and their margins, pointing to Trump winning. Its a descriptive statistic, so no assumptions about data, just a plot. Make of it as you will. The red line shows the cutoff point. Red line is y = x, duh!
I agree that the notion of a bell weather only relies on victory. The whole notion of a bell weather is an instable one though. A small pertubation to a county result such as 50.1 to 49.9 to 49.9 to 50.1 changes the bell weather result completely and hence the bell weather designation is unstable.
First, we know that Bell Weathers went for Trump, but that is not what I am showing. I show more than that; I show the top 200 most accurate counties. I won't debate the usefulness of the results. I have all the county level data from 1976 to 2020 and am analyzing it right now. What questions do you think are interesting to ask?
Very good. Yah I expected that this type of traffic has gone down a lot