1
sweating 1 point ago +8 / -7

Pima, the most populous remaining county left, leads toward Biden pretty heavily. I really don't want to be that guy, but if the votes keep coming in as they have, I calculated that Biden has more remaining votes than Trump. The claim that the remaining 70k are in red counties is false, although it is possible that red precincts have not reported their votes yet.

Yes, the courts might flip the state but I would not be depending on the remaining votes.

4
sweating 4 points ago +4 / -0

Funny how they tried to use that as a "statement" when in reality it contributes to fucking them over.

7
sweating 7 points ago +7 / -0

I mean if you really think about it logically, no amount of lockdown would be sufficient for how "bad" this virus has been portrayed to be. Like, Biden would have to have draconian measures put in place over a long period of time in order to "solve" this problem. If this virus goes away the moment Biden is portrayed by the media to win, everyone with a functioning brain should immediately know that something is up.

1
sweating 1 point ago +1 / -0

The way I see it, nothing has changed, the media has been implying this for days, and come Monday when the court shit starts the democrats are gonna get eviscerated.

4
sweating 4 points ago +4 / -0

https://www.philadelphiavotes.com/en/resources-a-data/archived-data-sets

This is what I used, and got different results from what most got. TBH I'm not sure if this data is only for the city or for the entire county, but it does have precinct-level data. I did do Benford's on Milwaukee and got exactly what others got, so I'm with you, I have no idea where this data is coming from.

Also, as a side note, I'm no statistician, but doing Benford's law for a large sample size of counties might just make suspicious results cancel out other suspicious results. The cheating is localized in a few dem counties and throwing in that data with other non-cheating data will probably eliminate the statistical anomalies.

5
sweating 5 points ago +5 / -0

I seriously doubt it... and we would need two knives in the back.

15
sweating 15 points ago +16 / -1

Articles like this really try to shove the narrative down the throat of the American people: https://www.businessinsider.com/joe-biden-wins-general-election-against-donald-trump-2020-11. Trump won and is going to soon prove it, stop trying so hard to convince the American people of the opposite.

4
sweating 4 points ago +5 / -1

"What!?!?! But...but....but he isn't president anymore!!!"

2
sweating 2 points ago +2 / -0

Yeah, I can probably do it in Clayton, Maricopa, and Vegas, then move onto other large counties that are not vital to winning the election. Thanks for the suggestion!

2
sweating 2 points ago +2 / -0

For Milwaukee, I used this data: (https://county.milwaukee.gov/EN/County-Clerk/Off-Nav/Election-Results/Election-Results-Fall-2020) and had 478 different wards with 3 and 4 digit numbers. For Philadelphia, I used this data: (https://www.philadelphiavotes.com/en/resources-a-data/archived-data-sets) and I only had 66 different precincts with 2, 3, and 4 digit numbers (pretty much all 4 digits for Biden).

Yeah, it could be better but it's hard to get huge numbers unless you measure at a statewide level, which is probably difficult to detect fraud in.

2
sweating 2 points ago +2 / -0

Good point, I can see how well both candidates fit the data (to get an actual number for how extreme the fraud is) and compare that to other trump-dominated counties.

1
sweating 1 point ago +1 / -0

I can certainly do it in more counties and find the difference in how well Trump and Biden fit the line, but since most of the cheating is going on in the battleground state dem counties, it will show up there a lot more than anywhere else. This is why I kept the scope this narrow for these graphs (I used federal precinct/ward data within the contested counties).

38
sweating 38 points ago +40 / -2

The thing that fucks me up the most is that ALL the media now support Biden. This is a dangerous situation to be in, and when we get this win Trump needs to do some cleanup.

1
sweating 1 point ago +1 / -0

Benford's law has been used in multiple legal cases, and it was invoked to determining fraud in the 2009 Iranian elections. I could go into the math of it all, but let's just say that it occurs a lot in a lot of scenarios and is not completely BS for election analysis.

7
sweating 7 points ago +7 / -0

Has anyone done a Benford's law analysis of Philly? I have the data it just takes work to put it in the form I need.

7
sweating 7 points ago +7 / -0

I actually did a Benford's analysis myself in Milwaukee wards, and it's pretty clear that Biden votes have been modified far more than Trump ones. We also have the fact that the most common last two digits of wards in Milwaukee are "00" indicating rounding to even numbers.

16
sweating 16 points ago +17 / -1

It actually pisses me off that every state the suddenly decides to stop voting loses its 10 point lead and goes to Biden at 4 A.M with a less than 1 point lead. It's so fucking obvious what's going on.

7
sweating 7 points ago +9 / -2

Holy shit I woke up thinking we wouldn't make it, we won GA (the only county left to count is R) and we might just be able to squeak out the win in AZ or NV. Of course, I'm hoping that we can get some hardcore evidence of election fraud so this shit can be over but we might not need that. PA if looking rough though lets fucking strap in.

1
sweating 1 point ago +1 / -0

Clayton Biden +71 0.96 106572 3026.6448 (D) 2447223 (R) Taylor Trump +27 0.96 3821 41.2668 (R) 2445321 (D) 1902 1083.378 I took the votes remaining in the counties (pretty much only Clayton and Taylor remain) and weighted them as they were voting. Then I got the net projected votes for D and R in each county, and the D vote surpassed the existing lead and the added votes from Taylor by 1083.378.

8
sweating 8 points ago +10 / -2

Trump lost GA by 1082 votes if the trend continues (the reason this happened is due to Floyd, a really heavy R county, suddenly going from 89% complete to >98% with NO MORE VOTERS THAN IT HAD BEFORE). We can still hopefully depend on military votes but there will probably be a recount either way,

10
sweating 10 points ago +10 / -0

WTF, Floyd GA just went from having 0.89 of votes to >0.98 of votes, without any change in the number of people that voted. If you didn't know, Floyd was a heavy R area and it was the only thing that could offset Clayton GA. Kinda weird how convenient that is for Dems...

8
sweating 8 points ago +8 / -0

Unless a county suddenly gains thousands of people, Trump won GA.

6
sweating 6 points ago +7 / -1

Georgia looking more and more like it's going to trump!

1
sweating 1 point ago +1 / -0

M A R I C O P A E N E R G Y

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