Unfortunately it's gone, says on the site " data before polls close are test only"
That's huge, one of the few counties Hillary won in 2016
I wouldn't read too much into stocks today. Here's a way to think about it. Wall street managers generally aren't placing bets on election results like this. Sure, some hedge funds might, but your massive passive funds are preparing for a Biden win because that's what the polls tell them.
If they prepare for a Biden win and Trump wins, the managers can say, "Oh it was the polls that were wrong, not my fault".
If they prepare for Trump and Biden wins, they lose their jobs because they "should have followed the polls".
Source: am a trader
So I have a feeling Nate Cardboard will come out tonight and say "Just because Trump won, doesn't mean our models were wrong, we gave him a 10% chance of winning and he won, it's just probability.
Your correct response to that is, well Nate cardboard gave Trump a 30% chance of winning in 2016 and a 10% chance in 2020. If those two events are independent, then the probability that he got both calls wrong while his models were correct is 3%.
So do we think there is a 3% chance that his models were right but got the election wrong twice...or do we think there's higher than a 3% chance his models are garbage?
I can't wait to see Nate cardboard drum up 10,000 reasons about how his polls were wrong but none of it was his fault
Once people get off work at 5pm EST it'll pick back up, no worries
Over on reddit the politics sub went from "Biden is gonna crush him, so many more democrats voted mail in than republicans and that trend will continue today in person" ....to..."Well maybe more registered republicans are voting today but there are gonna be so many republicans who vote for Biden that we'll still win!"
DELUSIONAL
Yea the dems all over twitter and reddit insist that there's going to be some massive portion of republicans voting for Biden. I don;t know any republicans voting Biden but a few Dems voting Trump and I'm in a heavy blue state.
their previous data was just testing