Thank you mods for keeping this place running smoothly. You are all true heroes.
Not exactly showing confidence.
They know it's over.
Honestly, it seems like 50% of the posts lately link to twitter. Why are we driving traffic to a site that hates us and hates America?
Post a screenshot, or better yet, post good content that doesn't come from twitter.
It's almost like watching the end of the last song of the last concert of your favorite musician. It's sad to think that's the end.
I hope he has the occasional rally during term 2, just because.
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Make sure you vote.
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Make a list of every person you know who supports Trump. Contact them and make sure they've voted. Keep after them and don't stop until they've voted. Make it your personal responsibility to ensure that every one of them votes. This is non-negotiable. We all need to do this.
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Anything else you can do is icing on the cake. Volunteer for the campaign, donate, etc., if you can. Try to redpill fence sitters. Spread the word on social media. All of this is great, but numbers 1 and 2 are absolute necessities.
The poll can be found here
Near the bottom of the article.
So far, 40% of Biden voters say they've already voted, vs. 14% of Trump voters. Only 33% of Biden supporters plan to vote on Election Day, but 66% of Trump backers plan to do so.
40% of Biden voters have already voted, and only 14% of Trump voters have.
Apply these percentages to the actual early voting data from TargetSmart. This data includes a breakdown of all early voting so far by party where available, and modeled by party where it's not available.
National numbers so far:
Democrat votes: 13,310,078 (51.3%) Republican votes: 9,972,351 (38.4%) Unaffiliated votes: 2,678,478 (10.3%)
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Now, split the unaffiliated voters 50/50 and you get.
Democrat: 14,649,317 Republican: 11,311,590
Assume Biden is getting all of the Democrat votes and Trump is getting all Republican votes.
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So based on the data from the IDB/TIPP poll, Biden's 14,649,317 votes represent 40% of his ultimate total.
14,649,317 * (1 / .40) = 36,623,293 total votes
Trump's 11,311,590 votes represent 14% of his ultimate total.
9,086,318 * (1 / .14) = 80,797,071 total votes
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Let's assume the poll is off and actually 35% of Biden's voters have voted already, and 20% of Trump's voters have voted.
14,649,317 * (1 / .35) = 41,855,191 total votes
9,086,318 * (1 / .20) = 56,557,950 total votes
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Based on this, Trump will have a massive lead, even accounting for errors in the numbers.
That is all.
ABC/Washington Post National poll shows Biden up by 12.
ABC/Washington Post Florida poll shows Trump up by 4.
Florida has been close in every election for at least the past 20 years. If Biden is really leading by 12 nationally, there is no way in hell Trump is ahead in Florida, and if Trump is really up by 4 in Florida, there is no way in hell Biden is up by anywhere near 12 nationally.
Two polls from the same polling organization which show completely inconsistent results means none of their polls are worth anything.
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