what the hell are we going to recount or audit?

they backdated the ballots (so we can't remove the ones that arrived later than the deadline), they don't have envelopes (signature and date are gone), they threw Trump ballots to trash (you can't count the correct number of Trump ballots)

we are playing the game they created by their rules with calculating "11k difference left, 10k left ..."

they dumped thousands of Biden ballots in the middle of the night, damn it! what are we recounting? put those people in jail and prove how much they cheated. if you can't determine the size of the fraud (imo you can't) the whole election should be discarded.

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I replicated Shiva's analysis in Oakland using https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/MI/Oakland/105840/web.264614/#/summary but I can't find other counties.

If you have precinct level votes for president, senate etc. it would be really good.

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Many people point this out in the comments, but the posts about that data that nobody knows anything about keep getting stickied.

It's just a json found on NYT website. we don't know where they use it, we don't know if they change it for some stupid purpose, we don't know if a stupid intern tries to manually adjust something, or if it's a server issue, or maybe some precincts have a different lagging update procedure.

Sidney Powell, Lin Wood keep tweeting about it. Now I hope POTUS Trump does not refer to that stickied post when he quoted OAN.

there are really good critiscm in the comments below this post: https://thedonald.win/p/11Q8Skkr1s/corrected-analisys-of-edison-dat/c/ In my analysis I show the same anomalies happen to Biden as well. So, it's not only against Trump: https://thedonald.win/p/11Q8Skl7k8/the-ultimate-analysis-of-the-nyt/ (so NYT can do this analysis now and falsify Trump easily. Be Careful!)

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recounting and auditing won't work.

  • we don't want to count ballots that arrive later than the deadline. but we don't know if postal office backdated the ballots. and they throw away the envelopes anyway. the ballot does not have any date info.
  • we want to count every legal ballot. but we know that BLM/DNC poll workers throw away or tear Trump ballots. we have videos of burned ballots or ballots found in trash. if they throw them away after they counted, then we will end up with even fewer votes for Trump
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can somebody enlighten me?

  1. we don't want to count ballots that arrive later than the deadline. but can we prove that? no. because we don't know if postal office backdated that ballot. and do they store the envelope or only the ballot? the ballot does not have any date info.

  2. we want to count every legal ballot. but we know that BLM/DNC poll workers throw away or tear Trump ballots. we have videos of burned ballots or ballots found in trash. so how can we count those ballots.

if they throw them away after they counted, then we will end up with fewer votes for Trump

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Executive Summary

  • Votes are 'lost' from both Biden and Trump
  • Data source is unreliable, I wouldn't use it to draw any conclusions.
    • the total votes go to absolute zero
    • the share of each candidate is not precise enough in terms of decimal points
    • it's from ''failing NYT' anyway, not directly from Dominion
  • Retract the sticky and gateway pundit article

Intro

I pointed out in one of my comments that in a certain instance there is a higher decrease in Biden's vote count. A couple of days later I saw the hugely up-voted sticky and that the gateway pundit stickied it to their homepage. It was disappointing because it hurts our credibility. You know the leftists use one small mistake to delegitimize every other information here.

The raw data I used is here: http://s000.tinyupload.com/?file_id=14566999163598825215

The Python code is here with a backup: https://pastebin.com/2DGjSbPU, https://justpaste.it/29d1b

I used Jupyter Notebook. I call this post "ultimate" because you can build on this code to do every analysis you want on the data.

I excluded the rows where the total vote count is zero.

Table of Contents

  1. Biased Vote Dump
  2. Vote Switch
  3. Votes Decrease

Explanation of Columns

  • vote_share_rep : percentage of Trump Votes
  • vote_share_dem : percentage of Biden votes
  • votes : the total presidential votes
  • votes_rep : total votes times Trump vote share (votes x vote_share_rep)
  • votes_dem : total votes times Trump vote share
  • votes_diff : the difference between two consecutive time stamps in total votes
  • votes_rep_diff : Trump's vote count change between two immediate timestamps
  • compare_rep : Trump's vote change compared to total vote change

Biased Vote Dump

When there is a total vote increase of more than 100,000 and Trump or Biden got less than 10% of those. You can play with these thresholds in the code.

Result for vote dump against Trump: https://i.maga.host/x14YHa3.png

Result for vote dump against Biden: https://i.maga.host/xmooTnX.png

Vote Switch

Decrease in one candidate is equal to the increase in the other candidate

The first instance is against Biden and the second is against Trump: https://i.maga.host/1vzaBfd.png

Because the vote count of candidates are decimal, instead of looking for exact switch, let's look for a switch that is closer than at most 20 votes. Sometimes bad news for Trump, sometimes for the CCP: https://i.maga.host/Xay5LWW.png

Votes Decrease

When there is a decrease in total vote count, they decrease it sometimes more from Trump, sometimes more from Biden.

With the threshold of 100,000: https://i.maga.host/nWtPwfK.png

You can see that viral 373k example is actually less favorable for Biden.

Conclusion

I'd just ignore this data source.

Next Steps

Can we collect all the data sources in one place, so that I can analyze? For example, where is the data the Shiva used?

Let's crowd source this. Something like. Here is the data and here are the questions we want to answer by analyzing this data.

Let's win this!

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it was kind of unexpected from a old republican to be so outspoken about fraud.

he mentioned Soros by the way on Fox again.

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They knew the protests were violent so they said it was "mostly peaceful"

They know there is fraud so they say "not widespread fraud"

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Stereo Trump 4D (twitter.com)
posted ago by victorywin ago by victorywin
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this poll watcher access argument or demands to audit or recount won't give us victory.

Re-do the election in swing states. That's the only solution I see.

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we keep saying "keep fighting" but what can we here do? other than protesting and social media posting?

is there some online data we can mine?

if this kind of problem occurred in a company I would be digging every database to death to find the problems. but this is government, and I don't think anybody will do any data mining with postal tracking, voting and registration etc.

even we find all these dead people and cancelled votes, the real cheating is printing ballots. how can we expose that?

recount or audit would not give us a win because they threw away Trump votes.

I don't see any other solution than 'do over' election in those states.

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Repeat the election in certain states with 100% in-person voting. CDC's approval for in-person voting for people with c-virus can be used to make the case against covid arguments.

I don't trust auditing (or recounting) every single ballot because Trump ballots are already burned and thrown away.

Letting SCOTUS or state legislatures decide the winner will cause massive distrust in either way because a small group of people would override 'the people's decision. For example, if SCOTUS says Biden is the winner, would you accept it? No.

P.s. I just searched the terms "do over election" after writing this and Sean Hannity suggested it already in Penn. Surprising but good.

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If you think Trump risked losing the most important election in history just to catch some dirty democrats, I really don't know where to start to tell you how pathetic of a thought this is.

The election was already stolen. We either fight or we lose. That's it.

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President Trump needs to do what he promised to do with work based visas, he must get control of his state department and he must start passing the regulations that have been with OMB since 2016. A LOT of forever Trumpers who were directly affected by this business model and voted for Trump because of his promises in 2016 have turned into his biggest enemies. It is sad but they feel betrayed. The more he does now, the more he will keep those grassroots workers.

https://thedonald.win/p/GvB1WKKV/ama--sara-blackwell----immigrati/

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I don't but I would be happy if you can change my mind.

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